{"id":774839,"date":"2026-08-10T08:15:17","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T08:15:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/774839\/"},"modified":"2026-08-10T08:15:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T08:15:17","slug":"mlb-best-home-run-bets-for-august-10-2026-abreu-and-soderstrom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/774839\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Best Home Run Bets For August 10, 2026\u2014Abreu And Soderstrom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" top-image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1786349717_207_0x0.jpg\" alt=\"Wilyer Abreu reacts to hitting a home run.\" data-height=\"775\" data-width=\"1163\" fetchpriority=\"high\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Wilyer Abreu has hit an MLB-high 10 home runs since July 10th.<\/p>\n<p>Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>The cold streak for the MLB best home run bets came to a merciful end on Saturday. Bryce Harper launched a home run at +300 odds. Sadly, Kyle Schwarber didn\u2019t hit a homer, and I was a day early, as he smashed two on Sunday. The end of the drought couldn\u2019t have come at a better time, though.<\/p>\n<p>Two losing bets would have evaporated the remainder of the season\u2019s profits and brought the home run bets into the red. Instead, the season\u2019s home run props have a 19-72 record, with three no-bets, generating $261 in profit for anyone who has bet $100 on each of the touted home run bets at the listed odds.<\/p>\n<p>Tonight\u2019s 10-game MLB slate offers bettors ample home run props to choose from. Two left-handed-hitting outfielders in favorable matchups can build upon Saturday\u2019s correct home run bet and be the start of a heater tonight, the best way to follow up on snapping a cold streak.   <\/p>\n<p>MLB Best Home Run BetsWilyer Abreu (Boston Red Sox &#8211; OF)<\/p>\n<p>Over 0.5 Home Runs (+295) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;season=2026&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;type=8&amp;month=1000&amp;qual=0&amp;sortcol=4&amp;sortdir=default&amp;startdate=2026-07-10&amp;enddate=2026-11-01&amp;team=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;season=2026&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;type=8&amp;month=1000&amp;qual=0&amp;sortcol=4&amp;sortdir=default&amp;startdate=2026-07-10&amp;enddate=2026-11-01&amp;team=0\" aria-label=\"Wilyer Abreu\">Wilyer Abreu<\/a> is white-hot, hitting an MLB-high 10 home runs since July 10th. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/wilyer-abreu\/23772\/splits?position=NP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/wilyer-abreu\/23772\/splits?position=NP\" aria-label=\"27-year-old outfielder\">27-year-old outfielder<\/a> has hit 20 homers this year, smashing 15 against righties, 10 on the road and seven on the road against righties. <\/p>\n<p> The left-handed-hitting outfielder also has decent batted-ball data this year. Among <a href=\"https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast?type=batter&amp;year=2026&amp;position=&amp;team=&amp;min=q&amp;sort=barrels_per_pa&amp;sortDir=desc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast?type=batter&amp;year=2026&amp;position=&amp;team=&amp;min=q&amp;sort=barrels_per_pa&amp;sortDir=desc\" aria-label=\"251 qualified batters in 2026\">251 qualified batters in 2026<\/a>, Abreu is tied for 25th in barrels per plate appearance rate (8.9%), tied for 38th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (13.0%), tied for 91st in hard-hit rate (43.5%), tied for 98th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (93.7 mph), 50th in maximum exit velocity (113.1 mph), tied for 78th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (35.8%) and tied for 33rd in steepest launch angle (19.1 degrees). <\/p>\n<p>Abreu has an ideal matchup to hit a home run tonight. Jameson Taillon\u2019s 2.93 home runs allowed per nine innings (HR\/9) are the most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;sortcol=10&amp;sortdir=desc&amp;players=12768%2C11674%2C30107%2C27779%2C22286%2C19350%2C30091%2C30240%2C22201%2C27468%2C31475%2C20492%2C18679%2C25098%2C31614%2C18383%2C27581%2C31701%2C30184%2C22267&amp;pagenum=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;sortcol=10&amp;sortdir=desc&amp;players=12768%2C11674%2C30107%2C27779%2C22286%2C19350%2C30091%2C30240%2C22201%2C27468%2C31475%2C20492%2C18679%2C25098%2C31614%2C18383%2C27581%2C31701%2C30184%2C22267&amp;pagenum=1\" aria-label=\"among Monday\u2019s probable starters\">among Monday\u2019s probable starters<\/a>. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/jameson-taillon\/11674\/game-log?position=P\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/jameson-taillon\/11674\/game-log?position=P\" aria-label=\"34-year-old righty\">34-year-old righty<\/a> has allowed 26 home runs in 16 starts this year, permitting at least one in 13 of his starts, including three straight. He has also coughed up multiple home runs in eight turns in 2026. Furthermore, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/jameson-taillon\/11674\/splits?position=P\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/jameson-taillon\/11674\/splits?position=P\" aria-label=\"Taillon\">Taillon<\/a> has allowed 14 homers to left-handed batters this year.<\/p>\n<p>Abreu\u2019s odds to hit a homer are also enhanced by playing in Toronto tonight. <a href=\"https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast-park-factors?type=year&amp;year=2026&amp;batSide=&amp;stat=index_wOBA&amp;condition=All&amp;rolling=2&amp;parks=mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast-park-factors?type=year&amp;year=2026&amp;batSide=&amp;stat=index_wOBA&amp;condition=All&amp;rolling=2&amp;parks=mlb\" aria-label=\"Rogers Centre\">Rogers Centre<\/a> is tied for the 10th-highest park factor for home runs (111) since 2025. Abreu should rip another home run tonight.<\/p>\n<p>Tyler Soderstrom has a favorable matchup at homer-friendly Sutter Health Park tonight.<\/p>\n<p>Getty ImagesTyler Soderstrom (Athletics &#8211; OF)<\/p>\n<p>Over 0.5 Home Runs (+388) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/tyler-soderstrom\/27467\/stats\/batting\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/tyler-soderstrom\/27467\/stats\/batting\" aria-label=\"Tyler Soderstrom\">Tyler Soderstrom<\/a> has drilled 19 home runs in 439 plate appearances this year after hitting a career-high 25 in 624 last season. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/tyler-soderstrom\/27467\/splits?position=NP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/tyler-soderstrom\/27467\/splits?position=NP\" aria-label=\"24-year-old outfielder\">24-year-old outfielder<\/a> has hit 10 home runs against righties, 11 at home and five at home against right-handed pitching this season. Soderstrom has also popped five home runs in the second half, meaning he\u2019s in good form.<\/p>\n<p>His batted-ball data isn\u2019t too shabby, either. Among 251 qualified hitters this year, Soderstrom is tied for 92nd in barrels per plate appearance rate (6.4%), 100th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (9.5%), 54th in hard-hit rate (46.3%), 66th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (94.7 mph) and tied for 48th in maximum exit velocity (113.2 mph).<\/p>\n<p>Soderstrom has a desirable matchup against a struggling hurler tonight. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/freddy-peralta\/18679\/game-log?position=P&amp;playerNameRoute=freddy-peralta&amp;playerId=18679&amp;sortcol=14&amp;sortdir=desc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/freddy-peralta\/18679\/game-log?position=P&amp;playerNameRoute=freddy-peralta&amp;playerId=18679&amp;sortcol=14&amp;sortdir=desc\" aria-label=\"Freddy Peralta\">Freddy Peralta<\/a> has allowed 19 home runs at 1.46 HR\/9 in 23 starts this year, permitting at least one homer in six of his last eight starts and 14 starts this season. Additionally, Peralta has yielded 15 home runs to left-handed batters, 12 on the road and 10 on the road to left-handed batters.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Sutter Health Park\u2019s 120 park factor for homers ranks second since 2025. The conditions are outstanding for Soderstrom to crank a home run tonight.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Wilyer Abreu has hit an MLB-high 10 home runs since July 10th. Getty Images The cold streak for&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":774840,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[36963,5,48,51375,27385,3385,5559,4,722,544,606],"class_list":["post-774839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-athletics-mlb","tag-baseball","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-home-run-bets","tag-home-run-props","tag-home-runs","tag-homers","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting","tag-tyler-soderstrom","tag-wilyer-abreu"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117070222323287643","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/774839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=774839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/774839\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/774840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=774839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=774839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=774839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}