![\"Pete](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1786530633_8_0x0.jpg\")
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Pete Alonso hit a home run last night and can hit another homer today.<\/p>\n
Getty Images<\/p>\n
The MLB best home run bets couldn\u2019t build momentum after snapping the cold streak on Saturday. Instead, Wilyer Abreu and Tyler Soderstrom failed to homer on Monday. <\/p>\n
The season\u2019s record for home run bets sits at 19-74, with three no-bets. As a reminder, home run props are long-shot bets, and the record won\u2019t be aesthetically pleasing.<\/p>\n
Still, the season\u2019s profits are underwhelming after grinding all year, checking in at $61 for anyone who bet $100 on each of the touted home run bets at the listed odds. It\u2019s not ideal. A small profit is better than being in the red, though.<\/p>\n
Wednesday\u2019s MLB slate offers an opportunity to bolster the season\u2019s profit and create some wiggle room to finish the season in the black. A slugging first baseman and a sweet-swinging, left-handed outfielder have the most appealing home run props today.<\/p>\n
MLB Best Home Run BetsPete Alonso (Baltimore Orioles – 1B)<\/p>\n
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+360) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n
Among 182 qualified batters from July 16th through August 10th, Pete Alonso<\/a> ranks second in exit velocity (95.0 mph), 13th in barrel rate (17.7%), first in hard-hit rate (61.3%) and 27th in steepest launch angle (21.0 degrees), but he hit only four home runs in 96 plate appearances during that period. Alonso<\/a> hit a home run last night, running his season total to 26 in 520 plate appearances. <\/p>\n The 31-year-old first baseman<\/a> has hit 20 home runs against right-handed pitching, 12 on the road and nine on the road against righties. He\u2019s done quite well tapping into his power in same-handed matchups.<\/p>\n Zebby Matthews also offers Alonso with a favorable matchup today. The 26-year-old righty<\/a> has allowed 17 home runs at 1.78 home runs allowed per nine innings (HR\/9) this season, coughing up a home run in back-to-back starts, seven of his last eight starts and 11 of 15 starts this season. He\u2019s also ceded multiple home runs in five starts.<\/p>\n Somewhat surprisingly, Matthews<\/a> has allowed nine of 17 home runs to right-handed batters, despite facing 162 right-handed batters and 203 left-handed batters. Alonso should be the latest right-handed hitter to launch a homer against Matthews, belting one this afternoon.<\/p>\n Dominic Canzone plays at home-friendly Yankee Stadium today and can hit his 19th home run of the year tonight.<\/p>\n Getty ImagesDominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners – OF)<\/p>\n Over 0.5 Home Runs (+389) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n Dominic Canzone\u2019s<\/a> home runs have climbed every season since he got his first taste of MLB in 2023, culminating in a career-high 18 homers through 348 plate appearances this season. He<\/a> has hit 14 homers against righties, nine on the road and seven on the road against right-handed pitching this year.<\/p>\n Canzone has fantastic batted-ball data this season. Among 251 qualified batters this season<\/a>, Canzone is tied for 20th in barrels per plate appearance rate (9.3%), tied for 32nd in barrels per batted-ball event rate (13.4%), tied for 57th in hard-hit rate (45.8%), tied for 33rd in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (96.0 mph), tied for 22nd in maximum exit velocity (114.7 mph) and tied for 141st in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (33.6%). <\/p>\n Canzone\u2019s matchup is decent. Will Warren<\/a> has allowed 15 home runs at 1.18 HR\/9 in 22 starts and one relief appearance this season. That said, Warren<\/a> has allowed 10 homers to left-handed batters, eight at home and six at home to left-handed batters this season. <\/p>\n