{"id":80813,"date":"2025-06-05T08:50:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-05T08:50:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/80813\/"},"modified":"2025-06-05T08:50:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-05T08:50:11","slug":"diamondbacks-at-braves-odds-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/80813\/","title":{"rendered":"Diamondbacks at Braves odds, picks and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The\u00a0Arizona Diamondbacks<\/a>\u00a0(30-31) and Atlanta Braves<\/a>\u00a0(27-33) wrap up their 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 12:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0<\/p>\n

After an 8-3 win on Tuesday, the Diamondbacks edged the Braves 2-1 on Wednesday night, cashing as +153 road underdogs with the Under (7.5) hitting. SP Merrill Kelly delivered a gem (7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K), improving to 6-2. Arizona got RBI singles from 2B Ketel Marte and OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr., extending their win streak to 3 games.<\/p>\n

SP Chris Sale took a tough-luck loss Wednesday (6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 10 K), as the Braves managed just 3 hits. Their only run came via an RBI walk from C Drake Baldwin. Atlanta has now lost 3 straight games.<\/p>\n

Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters<\/p>\n

RHP\u00a0Brandon Pfaadt\u00a0vs. RHP\u00a0Grant Holmes<\/p>\n

Pfaadt (7-4, 5.05 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.2 BB\/9 and 7.1 K\/9 in 62 1\/3 innings<\/p>\n

Last start: Loss, 0 IP, 8 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 11-7 home defeat against Washington Nationals Saturday2025 road stats: 3-2, 5.91 ERA (32 IP, 21 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 6.8 K\/9 in 6 startsLast start vs. Braves: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 9 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-4 home win April 27Career vs. Braves: 2-0, 3.57 ERA (17 2\/3 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 2 BB, 17 K in 3 starts<\/p>\n

Holmes (3-4, 3.78 ERA) is making his 12th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB\/9 and 9.0 K\/9 in 64 1\/3 innings<\/p>\n

Last start: Loss, 5 2\/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-1 home defeat against Boston Red Sox Friday2025 home stats: 2-3, 2.70 ERA (40 IP, 12 ER), 34 H, 14 BB, 46 K in 7 startsOnly start vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 5 2\/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 8-7 road victory April 26<\/p>\n

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Diamondbacks at Braves odds<\/p>\n

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:43 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)Run line (RL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Braves -1.5 (+150)Over\/Under (O\/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n

Diamondbacks 6, Braves 5<\/p>\n

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+115).<\/p>\n

The Diamondbacks are in position to complete the sweep Thursday afternoon and offer strong value at plus odds. Arizona has won 3 straight games, outscoring opponents 13-5 during the streak, and has taken 5 of the last 7 meetings against Atlanta. The D-backs have actually been better on the road this season, with a .248 average away from home\u2014ranking top 10 in MLB. They\u2019ve already seen Holmes once this year, tagging him for 6 earned runs. 3B Eugenio Su\u00e1rez was especially dangerous in that matchup, hitting 3 home runs off Holmes. With that history, Su\u00e1rez and the D-backs should be confident heading into this one.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Atlanta has struggled during its current homestand, dropping 4 of the first 5 games. Considering recent form, head-to-head success, and favorable odds, backing Arizona to finish the sweep looks like the sharp play.<\/p>\n

PASS.<\/p>\n

No need to play with the run line when you’re getting plus odds with Arizona on the moneyline.<\/p>\n

BET OVER 9 (-110).<\/p>\n

The Over looks promising in Thursday afternoon\u2019s matchup. It\u2019s hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the Diamondbacks and Braves, and in 5 of Atlanta\u2019s last 7 games. Pfaadt is coming off a rough outing, allowing 8 earned runs without recording an out. Expect some improvement, but runs should still come. This sets up for a back-and-forth, high-scoring game.<\/p>\n

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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