{"id":817204,"date":"2026-09-29T13:03:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:03:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/817204\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T13:03:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:03:16","slug":"national-league-wild-card-series-odds-traders-price-braves-padres-to-advance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/817204\/","title":{"rendered":"National League Wild Card Series odds: traders price Braves, Padres to advance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">After a grueling 162-game regular season, four National League teams will take part in the league\u2019s Wild Card Series.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">As it stands, Kalshi traders favor the Braves at 57% to knock out the Phillies and the Padres at 57% to topple the Cubs.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Should they advance, the teams await the reigning champion Los Angeles Dodgers and the league\u2019s best regular season team, the Milwaukee Brewers in the Divisional Series.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is the Official Prediction Market Partner of the Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres, and the Boston Red Sox.<\/p>\n<p>Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds: Braves hold the edge<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The Atlanta Braves claimed the NL East crown this season, dispatching the Phillies in nine of their 13 total head-to-head in the process.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">But the Phillies will now have the opportunity to redeem themselves when it matters most. To do so though, they\u2019ll need to find a way through the Braves in a best-of-three series on the road at Truist Park where the Braves held a 52-29 record this season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The Phillies complicated matters for themselves at the tail end of the regular season, needing to rely on right-hander Zack Wheeler in the final game of the year just to clinch a playoff spot. As such, Wheeler\u2019s availability in the upcoming series is in question as they travel to Atlanta.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Instead of Wheeler, the Phillies will start left-hander Jesus Luzardo in game one, who is being used as an opener after returning from a shoulder injury, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MattGelb?lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">according to beat writer Matt Gelb<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The Braves on the other hand will get to use their ace, Chris Sale, in the opening game. Sale went <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/mlb\/ask\/chris-sale-this-season-vs-phillies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">4-0 in four starts against the Phillies this season<\/a>, and even at age 37, was dominant this season. The lefty pitched to a 2.16 ERA over the course of 162 innings, finishing with another year of at least 200 strikeouts.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Game two on Wednesday might provide more clarity for the Phillies, who could use Christopher Sanchez on regular rest against likely starter Tyler Mahle of the Braves.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The Phillies have found a way to win each of their last three postseason series against the Braves, but the team has not ever won a playoff series after dropping game one, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7639886\/2026\/09\/28\/braves-phillies-wild-card-preview\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">report from The Athletic<\/a>. That might make Tuesday\u2019s makeshift pitching game even more important.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs odds: Padres favored in Wild Card rematch<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Last season, the Chicago Cubs defeated the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field in the final game of the Wild Card Series, advancing to the next round where they fell against the Milwaukee Brewers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">This season, the teams will square off in search of the same prize, a trip to Milwaukee to take on the Brewers in the NLDS. The only difference is the games will take place in San Diego this year, with the Padres <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxmlbseries\/pro-baseball-series-winner\/kxmlbseries-26chcsdwc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">favored at 52% to take the best-of-three series<\/a>, according to Kalshi traders.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Beyond home field advantage, some of that edge may be a result of their recent performances.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The Padres stormed from the edge of the playoff picture into the top Wild Card spot over the course of the last month, finishing September with an 18-6 record. The Cubs on the other hand, floundered as the season came to a close, finishing their final month of the regular season with just an 11-13 record.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">When the two teams square off on Tuesday, it will be Michael King taking the ball for the Padres in a game <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxmlbgame\/professional-baseball-game\/kxmlbgame-26sep292200chcsd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">where Kalshi traders make them a 55% favorite<\/a>. The Cubs meanwhile have not yet named their game one starter, though could decide between left-hander Matthew Boyd, or right-handers Kevin Gausman or Clay Holmes.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">In game two and beyond, the Padres can rely on recently returned Nick Pivetta, or Walker Buehler and Robbie Ray. Regardless, the team will likely lean heavily on their flamethrowing bullpen, which is anchored by shutdown closer Mason Miller.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Though the teams have been trending in different directions, it was the Cubs who took five of six games during the regular season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The first playoff matchup between the two will begin at 10:00pm ET on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Dodgers, Brewers remain World Series favorites<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The winner of the Braves and Phillies series will travel to Los Angeles where the Dodgers will maintain home field advantage in the best-of-five Divisional Round. Meanwhile, the winner of the Padres and Cubs will travel to Milwaukee, where it&#8217;s the Brewers who will have home field advantage in the next series.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">Despite a clearer picture on their potential opponents in the next round, Kalshi traders have not budged the odds for the Dodgers and Brewers to win the World Series. The two remain the clear favorites as the postseason begins, priced at 31% and 15.5%, respectively.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\">The next closest National League team is the Padres, who have seen their odds rise to 5.3%, up from 1% when the month of September began.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1\" style=\"--text-align:left\">The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to trade any specific product. Information is provided for convenience only on an &#8220;AS IS&#8221; basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Trading event contracts and trading leveraged products, including perpetual futures, involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See <a href=\"http:\/\/kalshi.com\/regulatory?utm_campaign=national-league-wild-card-series-odds-braves-padres-favored-to-advance&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_source=news.kalshi.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"_3k8pkd0\">kalshi.com\/regulatory<\/a> for more information. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. Kalshi is the Official Prediction Market Partner of the Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres, and the Boston Red Sox.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"After a grueling 162-game regular season, four National League teams will take part in the league\u2019s Wild Card&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":817205,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2394],"tags":[191,46,4166,5,192,4,169,1239,185],"class_list":["post-817204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-atlanta-braves","tag-atlanta","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-atlantabraves","tag-baseball","tag-braves","tag-mlb","tag-news","tag-politics","tag-sports"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117354470037347194","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/817204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=817204"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/817204\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/817205"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=817204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=817204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=817204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}