{"id":845621,"date":"2026-11-04T16:51:20","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T16:51:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/845621\/"},"modified":"2026-11-04T16:51:20","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T16:51:20","slug":"tarik-skubal-cant-fix-what-keeps-costing-the-yankees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/845621\/","title":{"rendered":"Tarik Skubal Can\u2019t Fix What Keeps Costing the Yankees"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8e\">The New York Yankees are reportedly among the potential suitors for Tarik Skubal, but just because they can pursue one of baseball&#8217;s best pitchers doesn&#8217;t mean they should.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The New York Yankees are \u201cthinking\u201d about pursuing Tarik Skubal in free agency and then trading from their stockpile of pitchers, per <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/kileymcd?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">@kileymcd<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>(<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vE93hjC873\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/vE93hjC873<\/a>) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JDIS4zxyRK\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/JDIS4zxyRK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Punchoutpitch (@Punchoutpitch) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Punchoutpitch\/status\/2117599070047084860?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">November 3, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8o\">The two-time American League Cy Young Award winner would strengthen virtually any rotation. However, his projected price tag is difficult to justify considering New York&#8217;s existing pitching depth and the weaknesses that derailed its 2026 postseason.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8t\">The Yankees don&#8217;t need another ace nearly as much as they need a more complete baseball team.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees already have baseball&#8217;s best starting rotation<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"93\">The Yankees finished the 2026 regular season with MLB&#8217;s best starting rotation ERA (3.30). Their pitching staff followed with a 2.63 ERA across five postseason games, making it difficult to blame pitching for their early October exit.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"98\">Consider the starters already under team control heading into 2027:<\/p>\n<p>Pitchers<\/p>\n<p>ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cam Schlittler<\/p>\n<p>1.95<\/p>\n<p>Carlos Rodon<\/p>\n<p>2.67<\/p>\n<p>Max Fried<\/p>\n<p>2.80<\/p>\n<p>Ryan Weathers<\/p>\n<p>3.60<\/p>\n<p>Gerrit Cole<\/p>\n<p>3.61<\/p>\n<p>Will Warren<\/p>\n<p>3.95<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9h\">Schlittler has emerged as one of baseball&#8217;s most exciting young arms. The 25-year-old AL Cy Young finalist finished 2026 with 239 strikeouts across 193\u2154 innings, a 0.92 WHIP and a 2.56 FIP.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9m\">Meanwhile, Fried, Rodon and Cole provide veteran experience, with Weathers and Warren offering additional depth.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9r\">The Yankees also have Carlos Lagrange, whose fastball can reach 103 mph. Although transitioned to relief during 2026, the organization still views him as a potential long-term starter.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9w\">Injuries and regression remain concerns, particularly with aging veterans. But with Warren, Weathers and Clarke Schmidt providing additional starting options, protecting against those possibilities doesn&#8217;t require signing the market&#8217;s most expensive pitcher.<\/p>\n<p>Skubal&#8217;s projected contract creates a difficult financial equation<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a6\">According to ESPN&#8217;s Kiley McDaniel, Skubal is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/50359247\/rankings-contract-projections-top-mlb-free-agents\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">projected to command an eight-year, $352 million contract<\/a>, averaging $44 million annually.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ab\">That would surpass Max Scherzer&#8217;s record $43.3 million annual average and Yoshinobu Yamamoto&#8217;s $325 million guarantee for a pitcher.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ag\">The Yankees already committed $324 million to Cole, $218 million to Fried and $162 million to Rodon. Adding Skubal would bring those four pitchers&#8217; combined original guarantees to approximately $1.06 billion.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"al\">Those contracts span different periods, but the figure illustrates how heavily New York would be investing in one area of its roster.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aq\">Skubal also turns 30 in November and has undergone multiple elbow procedures, including Tommy John surgery in college, flexor tendon surgery in 2022 and another procedure in 2026.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"av\">His talent isn&#8217;t in question, but an eight-year commitment carries considerable risk.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"b0\">There&#8217;s also a longer-term financial consideration.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"b5\">Cole and Rodon are under contract through 2028, meaning their combined $63 million in annual salaries is scheduled to come off New York&#8217;s payroll before Paul Skenes could become available.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ba\">Skenes is projected to reach free agency following the 2029 season, potentially presenting the Yankees with another opportunity to pursue elite pitching when they&#8217;re better positioned financially.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"bf\">There&#8217;s no guarantee Skenes reaches free agency or signs with New York. But his timeline illustrates the value of preserving flexibility rather than committing another $350 million to an already dominant rotation.<\/p>\n<p>New York&#8217;s past several postseasons have exposed problems another ace cannot fix<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"bp\">The Yankees&#8217; October struggles weren&#8217;t caused by a lack of quality starting pitching.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"bu\">They were caused by recurring weaknesses: defensive mistakes, inconsistent situational hitting and an inability to manufacture runs.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"bz\">Against Tampa Bay, New York committed four errors in Game 2, including three in the opening inning behind Schlittler.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"c4\">The offense also struggled to capitalize on scoring opportunities, reinforcing concerns about a lineup overly dependent on the long ball.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"c9\">Those problems won&#8217;t disappear because Skubal pitches every fifth day.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ce\">New York needs defensive reliability, greater lineup balance and hitters capable of producing runs without relying exclusively on home runs.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"cj\">That&#8217;s where Brian Cashman&#8217;s attention should be focused.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees have more important places to spend their money<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ct\">The most immediate concern is retaining David Bednar.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"cy\">The two-time All-Star converted 35 of 39 save opportunities in 2026, posting a 2.47 ERA with 76 strikeouts across 69\u2153 innings.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"d3\">The Yankees extended Bednar a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/yankees\/onsi\/what-david-bednar-s-qualifying-offer-means-for-the-yankees-offseason-01m6fq2zbc73\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">one-year, $23.15 million qualifying offer<\/a>, but that doesn&#8217;t guarantee his return.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"d8\">With Bednar having until November 17 to accept or decline, New York could still find itself competing for his services on the open market. Without an established replacement, securing a dependable closer should take precedence over adding another expensive starter.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-36\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"dd\">Bullpen depth is another priority, particularly with left-handers Tim Hill and Ryan Yarbrough reaching free agency.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-37\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"di\">Then there&#8217;s the infield.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-38\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"dn\">The Yankees <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/yankees\/onsi\/yankees-4-must-have-free-agent-signings-that-would-make-offseason-a-success-01m6f3qt8p19\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">need greater production and defensive consistency <\/a>at second and third base, along with a right-handed bat to balance their lineup. Catching depth and outfield stability also warrant attention.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-39\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ds\">Addressing those weaknesses through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/yankees\/onsi\/5-moves-i-d-make-if-i-were-yankees-gm-this-offseason-01m62mp13n01\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">offensive upgrades, infield improvements and bullpen reinforcements<\/a> would do more to balance the roster than investing another $44 million annually in starting pitching.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-40\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"dx\">Even if signing Skubal allowed New York to trade from its pitching surplus, those deals would need to deliver meaningful improvements elsewhere to justify the investment.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-41\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"e2\">The Yankees have already invested heavily in their rotation, developed an emerging ace in Schlittler and assembled the league&#8217;s best starting staff.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-42\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"e7\">Now they need to build a better team around it.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-43\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ec\">Another $350 million pitcher might make headlines. Addressing the weaknesses that keep costing the Yankees in October would make considerably more sense.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-44\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"eh\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/yankees\/onsi\/newsletter\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Get Yankees On SI straight to your inbox: sign up for our free newsletter here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" preventdefault:click=\"\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\" on:click=\"q-Do1oKYdV.js#s_lDqay9E5m5g[0]\" q:id=\"en\">Follow<\/a><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The New York Yankees are reportedly among the potential suitors for Tarik Skubal, but just because they can&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":845622,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2377],"tags":[5,4,297,2550,68,2551,2549],"class_list":["post-845621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tampa-bay-rays","tag-baseball","tag-mlb","tag-rays","tag-tampa-bay","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-tampabay","tag-tampabayrays"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117559209781237512","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/845621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=845621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/845621\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/845622"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=845621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=845621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=845621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}