{"id":847723,"date":"2026-11-07T08:27:44","date_gmt":"2026-11-07T08:27:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/847723\/"},"modified":"2026-11-07T08:27:44","modified_gmt":"2026-11-07T08:27:44","slug":"pirates-newest-free-agent-target-could-help-ben-cherington-recreate-his-best-offseason-formula","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/847723\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates&#8217; newest free-agent target could help Ben Cherington recreate his best offseason formula"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5i\">The Pittsburgh Pirates appear increasingly interested in borrowing from the Houston Astros&#8217; pitching playbook. Their latest potential free-agent target suggests that strategy could extend beyond the coaching staff.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5n\">In a November 3 free-agent preview, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/pirates\/news\/pirates-free-agents-discussion-2027\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">MLB.com&#8217;s Aiden Stepansky<\/a> identified former Astros reliever Bryan Abreu as a potential fit for Pittsburgh. The connection makes plenty of sense, particularly given the Pirates&#8217; recent efforts to build a pitching infrastructure influenced by Houston.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5s\">But Abreu also represents a fascinating test of whether familiarity with a coaching staff is enough to justify investing in a pitcher whose recent performance raises legitimate concerns. The 29-year-old right-hander spent several seasons working with <a href=\"https:\/\/rumbunter.com\/pirates-made-the-pitching-change-their-stars-wanted-but-early-returns-are-concerning\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pirates pitching coach Bill Murphy<\/a> in Houston, including the Astros&#8217; World Series championship campaign in 2022.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5x\">That season, Abreu posted a 1.94 ERA across 60 1\/3 innings before delivering another 11 1\/3 scoreless innings in the postseason. He followed that performance with three consecutive seasons of at least 100 strikeouts, establishing himself as one of baseball&#8217;s most dependable high-leverage relievers. A pitcher with that kind of pedigree would certainly be appealing to a Pirates team coming off its first winning season since 2018. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"62\">And the connections don&#8217;t stop with Murphy. <a href=\"https:\/\/rumbunter.com\/pirates-latest-astros-hire-reveals-bigger-plan-to-fix-disappointing-pitching-staff-01m61g3hanq8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pittsburgh recently hired Sean Buchanan<\/a>, who spent the previous two seasons as the pitching coach for Houston&#8217;s Triple-A affiliate in Sugar Land, to work in the upper levels of its minor league system.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates&#8217; Astros connections could make Bryan Abreu an intriguing rebound candidate<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6c\">The move further strengthens an organizational connection that began with Murphy&#8217;s arrival ahead of the 2026 season. Now, the Pirates have an opportunity to reunite Murphy with a pitcher he helped develop into an elite bullpen weapon. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6h\">It&#8217;s an intriguing extension of the approach that helped Cherington assemble a winning roster last offseason. Rather than relying exclusively on expensive, high-profile acquisitions, Pittsburgh found success by identifying established players who could provide considerable value in the right environment.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6m\">Brandon Lowe, Ryan O&#8217;Hearn and Gregory Soto all helped improve the Pirates&#8217; roster in 2026, even if their individual contributions varied. Abreu could theoretically fit a similar formula: acquire an established veteran whose value has declined, place him in a familiar environment and hope the results resemble his previous production.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6r\">The problem is that Abreu&#8217;s underlying numbers suggest his decline might be more than a temporary setback. After posting a 2.28 ERA in 2025, Abreu finished 2026 with a 3.73 ERA across 66 appearances. His strikeout rate dropped from 35.5% to 29.9%, while his walk rate jumped from 10.5% to a concerning 15.3%. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6w\">His average four-seam fastball velocity declined from 97.3 mph to 95.7 mph, and his 4.12 expected ERA also suggests his actual results might have been somewhat better than his underlying performance warranted.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"71\">There were encouraging signs, however. After a disastrous April, Abreu recovered to post a 2.19 ERA over his final 55 appearances. That improvement provides reason to believe he could still be a productive late-inning option, even if his days of consistently overwhelming hitters are behind him.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">PAINT. <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/Postseason?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">#Postseason<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EreJ2GxLo1\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/EreJ2GxLo1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 MLB (@MLB) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MLB\/status\/1583283077954285568?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">October 21, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7b\">The question for Pittsburgh is how much that potential rebound would cost. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/50359247\/rankings-contract-projections-top-mlb-free-agents\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ESPN&#8217;s Kiley McDaniel <\/a>projected Abreu to receive a one-year, $10.5 million contract, which wouldn&#8217;t be insignificant for a Pirates organization facing several other roster needs this offseason.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7g\">With Mason Montgomery and Luke Weaver already providing dependable late-inning options, Pittsburgh doesn&#8217;t necessarily need to spend eight figures annually on another reliever whose effectiveness comes with substantial uncertainty. And while Murphy&#8217;s familiarity with Abreu could provide an advantage, familiarity alone doesn&#8217;t guarantee that he&#8217;ll regain his previous velocity or command. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7l\">The Pirates should absolutely leverage their growing connections to Houston, but there&#8217;s a difference between identifying undervalued talent and paying a premium to recreate past success. Cherington&#8217;s best offseason moves have worked because the expected production justified the investment, not simply because the Pirates believed they could unlock something other teams couldn&#8217;t. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7q\">If Pittsburgh can acquire Abreu at a reasonable price and Murphy helps him rediscover his previous form, the organization could add another valuable piece to a bullpen with postseason aspirations. But if the Pirates end up paying for the pitcher Abreu was in 2023-25 rather than the one he was in 2026, those Astros connections might not be enough to make the gamble worthwhile.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow rumbunter.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=rumbunter.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" preventdefault:click=\"\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\" on:click=\"q-BLCfPEgH.js#s_lDqay9E5m5g[0]\" q:id=\"7w\">Follow<\/a><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Pittsburgh Pirates appear increasingly interested in borrowing from the Houston Astros&#8217; pitching playbook. Their latest potential free-agent&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":847724,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2402],"tags":[5,4,10,776,64,4297],"class_list":["post-847723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-baseball","tag-mlb","tag-pirates","tag-pittsburgh","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-pittsburghpirates"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117574214998458722","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/847723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=847723"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/847723\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/847724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=847723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=847723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=847723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}