{"id":847848,"date":"2026-11-07T12:27:12","date_gmt":"2026-11-07T12:27:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/847848\/"},"modified":"2026-11-07T12:27:12","modified_gmt":"2026-11-07T12:27:12","slug":"pirates-latest-brandon-lowe-contract-projection-exposes-an-embarrassing-12-year-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/847848\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates&#8217; latest Brandon Lowe contract projection exposes an embarrassing 12-year reality"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5i\">Somehow, Francisco Liriano is still setting the market for ambition in Pittsburgh. Nearly 12 years after the Pirates brought him back on a three-year, $39 million deal in December 2014, they have yet to sign a free agent for more. That\u2019s still the franchise record. Baseball has spent more than a decade moving the decimal point, and the Pirates still haven\u2019t cleared the same old number.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5n\">Brandon Lowe\u2019s projected payday makes that history look even worse. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/50359247\/rankings-contract-projections-top-mlb-free-agents\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ESPN\u2019s Kiley McDaniel projects a four-year, $80 million contract for Lowe.<\/a> His actual deal could land elsewhere, but the comparison is already quite brutal. At that price, keeping him would require the Pirates to more than double the largest free-agent commitment they\u2019ve ever made. That would qualify as a milestone in Pittsburgh, which tells us plenty about how low the bar has been.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5s\">So, we\u2019re talking about keeping a player who already wears the uniform, and the starting point for the conversation is whether this franchise can venture into financial territory it should have explored years ago.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">We present to you: all 35 of Brandon Lowe&#8217;s home runs from this season. \ud83d\udca3 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QO8zCc0MPK\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/QO8zCc0MPK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Pirates\/status\/2118383090804703665?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">November 5, 2026<\/a>Brandon Lowe could double the record the Pirates keep hiding behind<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"67\">An $80 million commitment is nothing to sneeze at. Four years for a 32-year-old second baseman carries real risk, and the Pirates should take a hard look at what they\u2019d be paying for in those later seasons. <a href=\"https:\/\/rumbunter.com\/pirates-qualifying-offer-history-gives-brandon-lowe-two-very-different-paths-01m6f2ecyr2t\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">They\u2019ve already put a one-year, $23.15 million qualifying offer on the table,<\/a> so there\u2019s some willingness to spend here. The bigger question is whether they\u2019re ready to make a longer commitment. If they\u2019re serious about keeping Lowe, that\u2019s a conversation they should have.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6c\">But Pittsburgh\u2019s spending history hangs over the discussion before we even get that far. A projected $20 million AAV has us wondering whether ownership will approve the biggest free-agent deal in franchise history. We\u2019re stuck debating whether the Pirates will open their <a href=\"https:\/\/rumbunter.com\/brandon-lowe-silver-slugger-finalist-validation-makes-him-harder-to-replace-and-harder-to-afford\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">checkbook before we can even get into whether Lowe is worth the money.<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6h\">The Liriano contract has survived long enough to become a reference point for one disappointing offseason after another. Every winter that passes makes that record harder to defend. At some point, the Pirates should identify a player worth paying and get the deal done. Instead, we keep dragging a December 2014 transaction into conversations about how serious ownership is about building a contender.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6m\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wpxi.com\/news\/local\/pittsburgh-pirates-brandon-lowe-named-national-league-silver-slugger-award-finalist\/W2CUSU7FPJGTBLIEB6XADL6WJ4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">We\u2019ve gotten way too used to the financial limits around this team. <\/a>Lowe just delivered 35 homers, 96 RBI and an .824 OPS in 2026, and we\u2019re already wondering whether Pittsburgh will pay to keep that kind of power at second base.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6r\">There\u2019s always another way to explain how the Pirates might survive losing somebody. But how exactly are they planning to get better?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6w\">Keeping Lowe would preserve a major piece of the lineup. They would still need to build around him, fill other holes and give the roster enough depth to get through a full season. A record contract is just the first step, but they&#8217;d still have to finish the job.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-blue my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"71\">Lowe\u2019s eventual contract could land above or below ESPN&#8217;s projection. The Pirates could decide another player offers better value. Either way, they still owe their fans a roster with a better chance to win.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow rumbunter.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=rumbunter.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" preventdefault:click=\"\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\" on:click=\"q-BLCfPEgH.js#s_lDqay9E5m5g[0]\" q:id=\"77\">Follow<\/a><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Somehow, Francisco Liriano is still setting the market for ambition in Pittsburgh. Nearly 12 years after the Pirates&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":847849,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2402],"tags":[5,4,10,776,64,4297],"class_list":["post-847848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-baseball","tag-mlb","tag-pirates","tag-pittsburgh","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-pittsburghpirates"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117575158570725479","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/847848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=847848"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/847848\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/847849"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=847848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=847848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=847848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}