{"id":849909,"date":"2026-11-10T06:39:52","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T06:39:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/849909\/"},"modified":"2026-11-10T06:39:52","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T06:39:52","slug":"the-baltimore-orioles-should-move-on-from-trevor-rogers-heres-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/849909\/","title":{"rendered":"The Baltimore Orioles Should Move On From Trevor Rogers. Here&#8217;s Why:"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8e\">As of Sunday, Orioles ace Trevor Rogers has just over a week to decide if he wants to stay with this ball club.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8j\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/orioles\/onsi\/every-orioles-2027-free-agent-and-how-likely-it-is-they-return-to-birdland-01m69ygb8sw7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">2026 marked the last year in his contract<\/a> and after his most recent season the Orioles offered Rogers a qualifying contract of $23.15 million. He was their Opening Day starter and prone to wild swings in productivity, but at his best he was the best this team is quite some time (his 2025 campaaign in particular). Which makes for a cloudy future.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8o\">Performing like a Cy Young candidates amid a lost 2025 season, with the manager fired in May and Rogers spending the first few months of the season in AAA,  will be remembered by O\u2019s fans for a long time. Although he only pitched 18 games (a respectable sample size), the lefty put up an ERA under 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.903, punching out 103 batters along the way. After acquiring him the year before, Rogers proved there were still shades of his 2021 year with the Marlins where he was Rookie of the Year runner-up (not to mention his only year as an All Star).<\/p>\n<p>What Does The Future Hold?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8y\">Let\u2019s get to the key question: Is a 29-year-old version of Trevor Rogers getting any better? Or more importantly, is he worth an actual multi-year deal out of owner Dave Rubenstein\u2019s pocket? Probably not.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"93\">In his (potential) last year with the Orioles, Rogers saw decreases in almost every stat line compared to the year before. He averaged .43 less innings pitched per start and posed a +2.22 ERA differential. He also faced issues with his fastball, losing some arm-side movement (dropping from 11.5 to 10 inches) while losing some velocity as well. Sure, these stats are certainly a little nit-picky, but they also help explain the six-game span towards the middle of the year where gave up 29 earned runs. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"98\">While it wasn\u2019t his best year, Rogers proved why he was chosen to front the rotiation. He exceled against lefties, putting up a .186 opponent BA paired with a .515 OPS. He also brought his ERA down from 5.30 to 4.03 in his last 15 games, proving he can fix his mistakes. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9d\">As mentioned before, Rogers has had dominant years in an O\u2019s uniform and a bounce back to those years isn\u2019t completely off the table. He\u2019s a (mostly) consistent arm that won\u2019t go deep into games as much as you might like, but will mix his pitches effectively while he\u2019s out there. His battled lapses of confidence across multiple seasons, and has no playoff pedigree to speak of.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9i\">So this organization needs to be willing to pursue other options, including many that will be cheaper, President of Baseball Operations Mike Elias and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/orioles\/onsi\/three-ways-orioles-new-gm-jared-banner-can-improve-2027-roster-01m5d21xeyz3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">newly appointed GM Jared Banner <\/a>must consider the trade alternatives.<\/p>\n<p>Other Options<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/01m6z7cmsmc69f5ccrww.jpg\" alt=\"Los Angeles Angels pitcher Reid Detmers (48) pitches during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins\" title=\"Los Angeles Angels pitcher Reid Detmers (48) pitches during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins\" width=\"360\" height=\"203\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"9z\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Sep 19, 2026; Anaheim, California, USA;  Los Angeles Angels pitcher Reid Detmers (48) pitches during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect<\/p>\n<p>Reid Detmers<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aa\">Detmers made all 32 starts and had a 3.36 ERA over 185 innings, striking out 28.5% of batters against a 6.5% walk rate with the Angels. He\u2019s projected at $7.5 million for 2027 and should make about $20 million total across his two arbitration years. With Detmers you\u2019re getting a similar if not higher-quality pitcher at a much cheaper price.<\/p>\n<p>Ryan Weathers<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ak\">The Yankees starter held a mid-three ERA over a career-high 25 starts. Over his last 262\u2153 innings, he held batters to a 47.2% ground-ball rate. Weathers is projected at only $3.1 million in arbitration. The O&#8217;s were deep in talks with the Yankees about Adley Rutschman, so it&#8217;s not like they won&#8217;t do business with them. This would be a far lesser scale.<\/p>\n<p>Shane McClanahan<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"au\">After a Tommy John recovery cost him two seasons, McClanahan showed no signs of it when he punched out 106 in 188 innings pitched, going 10-7 with a 3.36 ERA. The Baltimore-born lefty is as consistent as it gets if he stays healthy, and he is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/orioles\/onsi\/projecting-the-orioles-2027-rotation-before-trades-and-free-agent-signings-01m6h5qt5ey1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">someone who merits strong consideration. <\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Bottom Line<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"b4\">Trevor Rogers will most likely turn down the O\u2019s offer. His projected contract is four years at $76 million, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/50359247\/rankings-contract-projections-top-mlb-free-agents\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to Kiley McDaniel at ESPN.<\/a> Instead of trying to outbid teams like the Cardinals and White Sox, the Orioles should focus on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/orioles\/onsi\/5-realistic-trade-options-for-the-orioles-in-the-offseason-01m6j22agsb9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">saving some money while finding a replacement<\/a> that can do his job and more. <\/p>\n<p>Missing baseball season? Catch the Daily Flock Show to get the latest O&#8217;s updates and what the 2027 season may look like.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" preventdefault:click=\"\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\" on:click=\"q-BfTVl_4I.js#s_lDqay9E5m5g[0]\" q:id=\"bl\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As of Sunday, Orioles ace Trevor Rogers has just over a week to decide if he wants to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":849910,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2374],"tags":[143,47,2538,5,4,125],"class_list":["post-849909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-baltimore-orioles","tag-baltimore","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-baltimoreorioles","tag-baseball","tag-mlb","tag-orioles"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/117590781366226423","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/849909","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=849909"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/849909\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/849910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=849909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=849909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=849909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}