The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of their best-of-7, Western Conference semifinals series in the NBA Playoffs Friday. The series is tied 1-1. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Split 2-2

Oklahoma City bounced back from its Game 1 loss in a major way with a 149-106 blowout win over Denver Wednesday, covering as a 10.5-point home favorite. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge with a game-high 34 points on 11-of-13 shooting from the field. The Thunder scored an NBA playoff-record 87 first-half points in the win.

Denver snapped a 2-game winning streak with Wednesday’s loss. C Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists before fouling out near the end of the third quarter. Despite hitting 40.5% from 3-point range, Denver shot just 37.9% overall from the field.

Thunder at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Nuggets +185 (bet $100 to win $185)Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -5.5 (-110) | Nuggets +5.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

Nuggets

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictionsPrediction

Thunder 116, Nuggets 112

PASS.

Even though the series is headed to Denver, the Thunder (-225) have full momentum and are 9-1 in their last 10 overall, including 5-0 on the road in that span.

LEAN NUGGETS +5.5 (-110).

While the Thunder have the overall advantage, the Nuggets, behind their home crowd, will need to keep the game from getting out of hand to maintain any life in the series. They have covered in back-to-back home games and are 3-1 straight up at Ball Arena in the playoffs.

The Thunder have failed to cover in 3 of their last 4 games, including 2 straight on the road.

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

The Thunder have hit the Under in 4 of their last 7 games. While they have played well offensively, they have played even better on defense, allowing 108 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7 outings.

The Nuggets have scored 106 or fewer points in 5 of their last 8 games.

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