The Golden State Warriors will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Chase Center on Saturday, scheduled to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET.

All week, questions about the status of Minnesota’s All-NBA shooting guard Anthony Edwards have dominated Warriors–Timberwolves discourse. Edwards injured his ankle midway through Game 2 when Warriors center Trayce Jackson-Davis landed awkwardly on him during a contested layup, raising concerns about his availability moving forward.

However, it has now been confirmed that Anthony Edwards will play on Saturday against the Warriors after being cleared to continue through the injury by team medical staff.

In light of this development, the data analysts at Dimers updated their Warriors vs Timberwolves Game 3 score prediction and player stat projections after conducting new simulations that took into account Minnesota’s roster updates.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 3 previewMatchup OverviewTeams: Timberwolves vs. WarriorsDate: Saturday, May 10, 2025Time: 8:30 PM ETVenue: Chase CenterGame 3 Score Simulation and Win Probabilities

Data analysts at Dimers have updated their Game 3 projections, simulating thousands of outcomes to reflect current roster updates—including Edwards’ availability.

Predicted Score: Timberwolves 104, Warriors 99Spread Market: Warriors +5.5 at most sportsbooksMoneyline Odds: Warriors -108 | Timberwolves -109 (subject to change)Current Betting OddsSpread: Timberwolves favored at -5.5Total (Over/Under): 200.5Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -205, Warriors +198Projected Box Score Highlights

Dimers’ data-driven simulation includes full stat projections for both teams, with Anthony Edwards leading the way for Minnesota:

Timberwolves Projected StatsAnthony Edwards: 28 PTS, 7 REB, 5 ASTJ. Randle: 19 PTS, 6 REB, 6 ASTJ. McDaniels: 15 PTS, 6 REB, 2 ASTN. Reid: 13 PTS, 6 REB, 2 ASTD. DiVincenzo: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 4 ASTWarriors Projected StatsJ. Butler: 22 PTS, 7 REB, 6 ASTB. Podziemski: 15 PTS, 6 REB, 4 ASTB. Hield: 15 PTS, 4 REB, 2 ASTJ. Kuminga: 13 PTS, 4 REB, 2 ASTD. Green: 10 PTS, 6 REB, 6 ASTTop Prop Bets to Watch for Game 3

In addition to the updated score predictions, Dimers’ simulation models have surfaced high-value player prop bets for Saturday’s game.

These are data-driven edges based on projected performance—separate from sportsbook odds:

Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 3-Pointers MadeProjected: 3.7Probability: 51.9%Edge: 7.5%Best Odds: +125Tag: Rain MakerAnthony Edwards Over 5.5 AssistsProjected: 5.4Probability: 49.3%Edge: 5.8%Best Odds: +130Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 Total StealsProjected: 1.5Probability: 50.3%Edge: 10.0%Best Odds: +148Donte DiVincenzo Over 2.5 3-Pointers MadeProjected: 2.7Probability: 52.7%Edge: 8.9%Best Odds: +128Naz Reid Over 5.5 Total ReboundsProjected: 6.0Probability: 52.8%Edge: 9.3%Best Odds: +130Tag: Board CrasherDraymond Green Over 1.5 Total StealsProjected: 1.8Probability: 53.8%Edge: 7.5%Best Odds: +116

Each of these props comes with a projected edge over the market price, making them standout options for bettors looking to capitalize on Game 3.

Can Golden State Regroup Without Curry?

Golden State struggled mightily in Game 2, losing by 24 points and showing major issues without Stephen Curry. The team’s offense stalled, and head coach Steve Kerr used 14 players in the first half just to find a spark.

With the Warriors just 1-4 in their last five road playoff games without Curry, Game 3 at home is pivotal. But with Edwards back and projected to lead Minnesota in scoring again, the Timberwolves will be a tough out.