WATCH: Return of key players lead to Cleveland Cavs win over Indiana
After sitting Game 2 of the Eastern Conference semi-finals, Evan Mobley, DeAndre Hunter and Darius Garland return to help their team win Game 3.
The No. 1 seed Cleveland Cavaliers and No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers play on May 11 in Game 4 of their second-round 2025 NBA playoffs series.
The game is scheduled to begin at 5 p.m. MST (8 p.m. Eastern time) and can be seen on TNT (stream with Sling TV).
Who will win the NBA playoff game?
Check out these NBA playoffs picks and predictions for the Eastern Conference semifinal matchup.
The Cavaliers are a 4.5-point favorite over the Pacers in NBA playoffs odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Cleveland is -190 on the moneyline. Indiana is +155. The over/under for the game is set at 231.5 points.
NBA playoffs game picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | Betting: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders
Watch Pacers vs Cavaliers game on Sling TV
ESPN: Cavaliers have a 56.1% chance to beat Pacers in Game 4
The site gives Indiana a 43.9% shot at defeating Cleveland in the fourth game of the NBA playoffs series.
NBA playoffs series schedules, TV channels: Cavaliers vs Pacers | Celtics vs Knicks | Thunder vs Nuggets | Timberwolves vs Warriors | Daily schedule | Second-round matchups
The site’s formula predicts that Cleveland will defeat Indiana in Game 4 of the NBA postseason series.
NBA playoffs series picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | NBA championship odds | Game odds | NBA playoff bracket
Dimers: Cavaliers 118, Pacers 112
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 69%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 31%.”
FOX Sports: Cavaliers 119, Pacers 114
It writes: “Cavaliers games have gone over 231.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 47 times (out of 82) this year. The Pacers games have gone over 231.5 total points scored in 47 of 82 total matchups this season. These teams average 239.3 points per game combined, 7.8 more than the over/under of 231.5.”
FanDuel: Cavaliers have a 55% win probability in Game 4 vs Pacers
It writes: “The Cavaliers have covered the spread 47 times in 82 games with a set spread. The Pacers have 37 wins against the spread in 82 games this year. This season, Cavaliers games have hit the over 50 times.”
We occasionally recommend interesting products and services. If you make a purchase by clicking one of the links, we may earn an affiliate fee. USA TODAY Network newsrooms operate independently, and this doesn’t influence our coverage.
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
Support local journalism: Subscribe to azcentral.com today.