Warriors’ playoff hopes: Steph Curry’s impact
The Warriors’ chances against the Timberwolves depend heavily on Steph Curry’s return to the court.
The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves and No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors play May 12 in Game 4 of their second-round 2025 NBA playoffs series.
The game is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. MST (10 p.m. Eastern time) and can be seen on ESPN (stream with FUBO).
Who will win the NBA playoff game?
Check out these NBA playoffs picks and predictions for the Western Conference semifinal matchup.
The Timberwolves are a 5.5-point favorite over the Warriors in NBA playoffs odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Minnesota is -210 on the moneyline. Golden State is +170. The over/under for the game is set at 199.5 points.
Minnesota leads the series 2-1.
NBA playoffs game picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | Betting: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders
Watch Warriors vs Timberwolves game on FUBO (free trial)
ESPN: Timberwolves have a 57.9% chance to beat Warriors in Game 4
The site gives Golden State a 42.1% shot at defeating Minnesota in the fourth game of the NBA playoffs series.
NBA playoffs series schedules, TV channels: Cavaliers vs Pacers | Celtics vs Knicks | Thunder vs Nuggets | Timberwolves vs Warriors | Daily schedule | Second-round matchups
The site’s formula predicts that Minnesota will defeat Golden State in Game 4 of the NBA postseason series.
NBA playoffs series picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | NBA championship odds | Game odds | NBA playoff bracket
Dimers: Timberwolves 103, Warriors 98
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 67%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 33%.”
FOX Sports: Warriors 112, Timberwolves 111
It writes: “The Timberwolves and their opponent have combined to score over 199.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 72 of 82 games this year. The Warriors have played in 72 games this year (87.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 199.5 points. These two teams average a combined 228.1 points per game, 28.6 more points than the over/under of 199.5 set for this game.”
The Playoffs: Bet the Warriors with the points vs Timberwolves in Game 4
It writes: “The Timberwolves have found a huge opening against the Warriors as the latter is looking helpless from long range. The three-point advantage belongs to them, and it usually is the biggest deciding factor in the league. However, don’t underestimate Dubs’ fighting spirit. The Chase Center will be rocking even louder in this crucial game, and I believe the Warriors will be ready for the challenge here. I see another close game with the Warriors winning this. Last time, I picked them to cover the spread of +5.5 and they covered it with a whisker. This time, I am going for a slightly more risky pick.”
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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