The Sacramento Kings (1-2) and Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) meet Tuesday. Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Kings vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Thunder won 3-0
The Kings lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 127-120 Sunday, closing as 3.5-point home favorites. The Over (225) cashed. The Kings were led by F Zach LaVine, who dropped 32 points on 12-for-24 shooting and was among 6 players in double figures. Sacramento has yet to cover this season, having gone 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and 2-1 Over/Under (O/U).
The Thunder, 1 of 4 teams still undefeated, beat the Dallas Mavericks 101-94 on the road Monday, failing to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The Under (226.5) hit. Reigning MVP G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 23 points and is averaging 35.8 per game on the season. OKC is 1-3 ATS and 2-2 O/U through 4 games.
Kings at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Kings +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Thunder -500 (bet $500 to win $100)Against the spread: Kings +10.5 (-115) | Thunder -10.5 (-105)Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Thunder key injuries
Kings
F Keegan Murray (thumb) out
Thunder
(Not yet submitted — below was for Monday’s game)
G Alex Caruso (concussion) outG Jalen Williams (wrist) outG Kenrich Williams (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Thunder picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 120, Kings 106
PASS.
There’s no playable wager here. The Thunder (-500) should come out on top, but they are far too expensive to consider.
BET THUNDER -10.5 (-105).
The Thunder were the best team in the league at covering at home last season, going 37-15-2 ATS. While 1-3 ATS so far this year, they have yet to be a double-digit favorite — a situation in which they thrived a season ago. OKC has scored at least 117 points in 3 of 4 games, so it is putting up enough to win by this size of margin.
The Kings, who gave up a career-high 51 points to Lakers G Austin Reaves Sunday at home, also allowed 120 points to the Phoenix Suns and pushed ATS in their lone road game. Several of their key players were either added this offseason or in the middle of last season. Expect them to struggle to find any rhythm against a team of OKC’s caliber.
Back THUNDER -10.5 (-105).
BET UNDER 227.5 (-110).
The Thunder’s defense is starting to click, and it was the No. 1 defense in the league last season. Having allowed 100 or fewer points in 2 straight games, it should heavily limit the Kings’ attack.
Of note, the Kings rank 16th in pace and the Thunder sit 18th, so neither side is likely to push the tempo in this game. Back UNDER 227.5 (-110).
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