The Denver Nuggets (4-2) will be trying to extend a three-game home winning run when taking on the Miami Heat (4-3) on Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at Ball Arena. It airs at 9 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, ALT, KTVD, and KUSA.
The Nuggets are an 8.5-point favorite against the Heat when the Nuggets and the Heat square off. The matchup’s over/under is set at 240.5.
Nuggets vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 7:29 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Denver -8.5Total: 240.5Moneyline: Denver -341, Miami +270
Heat at Nuggets odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 8.5)Pick OU:
Under (240.5)Prediction:
Nuggets 123 – Heat 116MoneylineThe Nuggets have a 4-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 80% of those games).Denver has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -341 or shorter.The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 77.3% in this contest.The Heat have been underdogs in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.Miami has played as an underdog of +270 or more once this season and lost that game.Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 27.0% chance to win.Against the spreadThe Nuggets record 125 points per game, eight more points than the 117 the Heat give up.When Denver puts up more than 117 points, it is 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall.Miami has put together a 5-1 ATS record and a 4-2 overall record in games it scores more than 113.8 points.Denver’s record is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall when it allows fewer than 123.9 points.The Nuggets are the league’s second-ranked scoring team (125 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank 16th in points per game (117) in NBA play.The fourth-ranked scoring NBA team (123.9 PPG) is Miami, while the Denver squad ranks eighth in the league defensively (113.8 PPG).The Nuggets have totaled 67 more points than their opponents this season (11.2 per game on average), and the Heat have scored 48 more points than their opponents (6.9 per game).Over/UnderDenver has an average implied point total of 122 this season, which is three points lower than its implied total in Wednesday’s game (125).This season, Denver has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (125) four times.The average implied point total on the season for Miami (117.6) is 1.6 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (116).How to watch Nuggets vs. HeatGame day: Wednesday, November 5, 2025Game time: 9 p.m. ETLocation: Denver, ColoradoArena: Ball ArenaTV channel: KTVD (Denver, CO)Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo