The Oklahoma City Thunder (8-1) visit the Sacramento Kings (3-5) on Friday as part of the NBA Cup group stage. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, is at 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Thunder lead 1-0

The Thunder, after winning their first 8 games of the season, are coming off their first loss, a 121-119 road loss to the Portland Trail Blazers Wednesday as 3.5-point favorites. The Over (232) cashed. Playing on the back end of a back-to-back, they blew a 22-point lead.

The Kings also played Wednesday, beating a shorthanded Golden State Warriors squad 121-116 as 3-point home favorites with the Over (226) cashing.

The two teams met in Oklahoma City on Oct. 28, with the Thunder picking up a 107-101 win, but the Kings cover the 9-point spread as underdogs, and the Under (227.5) cashed.

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Thunder at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Kings +400 (bet $100 to win $400)Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -10.5 (-115) | Kings +10.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Thunder at Kings key injuries

Thunder

G Lou Dort (trap) questionableG Aaron Wiggins (thigh) outG Jalen Williams (wrist) outF Kenrich Williams (knee) out

Kings

F Keegan Murray (thumb) outC Domantas Sabonis (ribs) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Kings picks and predictionsPrediction

Thunder 129, Kings 121

The Thunder only have one loss, and they even had a 22-point lead in that game. Will they lose 2 games in a row? They have not lost 2 straight games since April, including their playoff run to the championship. And before their 2 straight losses in April, they had not lost consecutive games since November.

So expect the Thunder to win, but -550 odds are definitely not odds worth playing.

PASS.

The Kings have only lost one game this season by double digits. The Thunder had 3 consecutive wins by at least 19 points before their loss to the Blazers. They are 4-5 ATS so far this season.

Even at home against the Kings last week, Sacramento kept it close, losing by 6 as 9-point underdogs.

BET KINGS +10.5 (-105).

Their meeting last week had 208 total points, but all 4 of the Thunder’s games since then had totals of 233 or more.

Likewise, all 4 of the Kings’ games since then have had totals of 239 or more.

BET OVER 234.5 (-105).

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