The Indiana Pacers (1-8) visit the Golden State Warriors (5-5) Sunday to continue their West Coast road trip. Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco, California, is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Pacers swept 2-0
Indiana lost 117-100 to the Denver Nuggets Saturday, failing to cover as a 9-point road underdog with the Under (235) hitting. The Pacers forced 18 turnovers but shot just 35.5% from the field, including 22.2% from deep, and were outrebounded 55-48. Indiana allowed 72 points in the paint.
Golden State lost 129-104 at the Nuggets Friday, failing to cover as a 9.5-point underdog with the Over (230) cashing. In the absence of G Stephen Curry (illness), no Warriors player scored more than 17 points. The Dubs were outrebounded, committed more turnovers than the Nuggets and allowed Denver to shoot 56.1% from the field, including 48.5% from deep.
Pacers at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Pacers +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Warriors -700 (bet $700 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +12.5 (-110) | Warriors -12.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Pacers at Warriors key injuries
Pacers
(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)
G Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) outG Bennedict Mathurin (toe) outG T.J. McConnell (hamstring) outF Obi Toppin (foot) out
Warriors
G Stephen Curry (illness) questionableC Al Horford (foot) questionableG De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pacers at Warriors picks and predictionsPrediction
Warriors 114, Pacers 101
PASS.
Golden State is the better team and should have no problem winning as a -700 favorite, but no favorite set this heavily is ever worth the risk, so pass and bet the spread or total instead.
LEAN WARRIORS -12.5 (-110).
This Warriors team is too good to let the Pacers keep the game close, especially after losing to Indiana just over a week ago. Curry went just 8-for-24 in that loss, but he should look like the best version of himself Sunday and lead the Warriors to a blowout win.
This number indicates that the market believes Curry will play.
This is a very slight lean, as the Warriors have been sliding lately and Curry remains questionable.
BET UNDER 228.5 (-110).
Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the NBA in scoring offense and offensive rating. This Golden State defense is much better than its offense and will make life hard for the Pacers, leading to many turnovers, missed shots and wasted possessions for Indiana. On the other side, the Warriors will have more success, but the Dubs haven’t been good enough offensively this season to make the Over a real threat here.
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