Two of the NBA’s best players will be on show when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (33.2 points per game, second in league) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) welcome in Stephen Curry (26.8, 11th) and the Golden State Warriors (6-5) on Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on NBCS-BA and FDSOK.
The Thunder are a 7.5-point favorite against the Warriors when the Thunder and the Warriors square off. The over/under for the matchup is set at 228.5.
Thunder vs. Warriors betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Oklahoma City -7.5Total: 228.5Moneyline: Oklahoma City -298, Golden State +238
Warriors at Thunder odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Thunder (- 7.5)Pick OU:
Over (228.5)Prediction:
Thunder 120 – Warriors 110MoneylineThe Thunder have won 90.9% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (10-1).Oklahoma City has won all nine games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -298 or shorter.The Thunder have an implied moneyline win probability of 74.9% in this game.This season, the Warriors have been the underdog three times and won one of those games.Golden State has played as an underdog of +238 or more once this season and lost that game.The implied probability of a win by the Warriors based on the moneyline is 29.6%.Against the spreadThe Thunder score 122.4 points per game, 8.8 more points than the 113.6 the Warriors allow.Oklahoma City is 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall when scoring more than 113.6 points.When it scores more than 108.8 points, Golden State is 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 overall.Oklahoma City is 6-2 against the spread and 8-0 overall when it allows fewer than 115.9 points.The Thunder are at the fourth spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (122.4 PPG), while the Warriors allow the ninth-fewest points per game (113.6) in the league.The 18th-ranked scoring NBA team (115.9 PPG) is Golden State, while the Oklahoma City squad ranks first in the league defensively (108.8 PPG).The Thunder have out-scored their opponents by a total of 149 points this season (13.6 points per game on average), and the Warriors have put up 25 more points than their opponents on the year (2.3 per game).Over/UnderOklahoma City has an average implied point total of 119.7 this season, which is 1.7 points higher than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (118).This season, Oklahoma City has put up more than 118 points seven times.Golden State’s average implied point total on the year (118.2 points) is 7.2 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (111 points).How to watch Thunder vs. Warriors