The Portland Trail Blazers (6-6) and Dallas Mavericks (3-10) meet Sunday. Tip-off from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Mavericks won 3-1
The Trail Blazers have gone 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games. They’re coming off a 140-116 loss at the Houston Rockets Friday. They failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs as the Over (236.5) hit for the second straight game. Portland committed 20 turnovers, which Houston converted into 30 points. F Deni Avdija led the Trail Blazers with 22 points and 10 rebounds.
The Mavericks have lost 3 straight games, going 1-2 ATS in that span. Their last game was a 133-127 2OT home loss to the LA Clippers Friday, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs. F Naji Marshall and G D’Angelo Russell each scored 28 points, and the Over (221.5) easily hit. C Dereck Lively II (4 points in 17 minutes) returned from a knee injury after missing 9 games and is not listed on Sunday’s injury report.
Each team covered twice across 4 meetings last season, with the Over going 4-0.
Trail Blazers at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Mavericks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)Against the spread: Trail Blazers -4.5 (-105) | Mavericks +4.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Trail Blazers at Mavericks key injuries
Trail Blazers
G Scoot Henderson (hamstring) outG Damian Lillard (Achilles) out
Mavericks
F Anthony Davis (calf) doubtfulG Dante Exum (knee) outG Kyrie Irving (knee) outF P.J. Washington (shoulder) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Trail Blazers at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction
Trail Blazers 120, Mavericks 119
While the Trail Blazers are the much healthier team, I’m not willing to lay -170 on a straight-up win.
PASS on the moneyline.
The Trail Blazers have the better record straight up and ATS, and they’re almost rolling out a fully healthy roster. While it’s reasonable for Portland to be favored over Dallas given all of the Mavericks’ injuries, this spread is just a bit too high.
Portland hasn’t covered in 4 straight games, including 1 push, and hasn’t covered as a favorite since beating the Los Angeles Lakers 122-108 while laying 3 points on the road Oct. 27. Since then, the Trail Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS as favorites.
While the Mavericks aren’t sending out their best roster, they’ve at least shown they’re capable of keeping games competitive, as they’re 2-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 4.5 or more points.
BET MAVERICKS +4.5 (-115).
There’s not much to handicap here.
The Trail Blazers are 9-3 to the Over this season, the Mavericks are 3-0 to the Over in their last 3 games and the Over has hit in each of the last 5 meetings dating back to the 2023-24 season.
BET OVER 234.5 (-105).
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