The Trail Blazers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
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The Portland Trail Blazers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.
The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 6-6 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 5-8 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePortland Trail Blazers-3.5 -115O 234.5 -115-170Dallas Mavericks +3.5 -105U 234.5 -105140
Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Sunday‘s game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+23.67 Units / 37% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 2H Spread in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.52 Units / 37% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+12.48 Units / 20% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
6-6 against the Moneyline (-1.75 Units / -9.46% ROI)
9-3 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI)
3-9 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 5-8 (-3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI).
3-10 against the Moneyline (-12.9 Units / -61.43% ROI)
5-8 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
8-5 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-21.60 Units / -34% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.65 Units / -22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 65 games (-20.55 Units / -27% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.35 Units / -22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-19.40 Units / -28% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 57 games (-18.05 Units / -27% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.75 Units / -18% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.75 Units / -16% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-14.43 Units / -17% ROI)
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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (313 assists/ 222 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (133/442) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (313 assists/ 222 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (133/442) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (313 assists/ 222 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (133/442) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
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