The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-5) and Phoenix Suns (9-6) meet in a Western Conference battle Friday as part of the NBA Cup group play. Tip from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona, is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Timberwolves won 4-0 

The Timberwolves beat the Washington Wizards 120-109 Wednesday, failing to cover as a 16-point home favorite as the Under (240.5) hit. Minnesota was led by F Julius Randle’s 32 points on 11-for-19 shooting. It has won 2 straight games and 6 of its last 7 contests. The Wolves have gone 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span and 6-9 ATS on the season.

The Suns took down the Portland Trail Blazers 127-110 Tuesday, covering as a 2-point road underdog. The Over (235.5) cashed as G Devin Booker scored a team-high 19 points. Phoenix, which started the season 1-4, has won 6 of its last 7 games and is 6-1 ATS across that span. It is 9-5-1 ATS on the season.

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Timberwolves at Suns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Suns +145 (bet $100 to win $140)Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -3.5 (-110) | Suns +3.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Timberwolves at Suns key injuries

Timberwolves

(Not yet submitted — below was for Wednesday’s game)

G Donte DiVincenzo (face) availableF Jaden McDaniels (wrist) out

Suns

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

G Grayson Allen (quad) outG Jalen Green (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Suns picks and predictionsPrediction

Suns 118, Timberwolves 113

BET SUNS (+125).

The Timberwolves are 5-2 on the road, but they are 0-2 against teams with an above .500 record. Their best road win was against the Trail Blazers, a team the Suns just beat by 17 on the road. Phoenix is also surging offensively, scoring at least 121 points in 5 straight games. It is 6-2 at home with a premier win over the San Antonio Spurs.

The Timberwolves’ defense has been better as of late, but they have still allowed at least 109 points in 5 of their last 6 performances, so they aren’t quite back to that dominant unit they used to be.

Considering those trends, expect the red-hot home team to win and take SUNS (+125).

PASS.

Given the predicted outcome, the moneyline is the better route, although the Suns +3.5 (-110) is certainly a playable line.

BET UNDER 233.5 (-105).

Both sides can defend competently. The Timberwolves rank 13th and the Suns 12th in defensive rating on the season.

Another key issue with expecting points in this one is the tempo. The Suns rank 21st and the Timberwolves 16th in pace, suggesting this won’t be a quick game. Considering those trends, back UNDER 233.5 (-105).

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