The Portland Trail Blazers (6-9) and Golden State Warriors (9-8) meet in an NBA Cup matchup Friday. Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco, California, is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Portland leads 1-0
Portland suffered a 122-121 loss at the hands of the Chicago Bulls Wednesday, covering as a 3.5-point road underdog with the Under (244.5) cashing. The Blazers have lost 4 straight and have given up at least 120 points in all of those losses. Against Chicago, F Jerami Grant had 33 points and F Deni Avdija added a 32-point triple-double, but C Nikola Vucevic hit a game-winning 3 to overcome the duo.
Golden State was routed 110-96 by the Miami Heat Wednesday while failing to cover as a 10.5-point road underdog as the Under (235) hit. The Warriors were without 3 starters in the loss, including G Steph Curry and F Jimmy Butler, so the offense was understandably awful against the Heat. The Warriors are expected to be mostly healthy heading into this matchup.
The Blazers destroyed the Warriors 139-119 when they faced off early in the season. Curry dropped 35 in the loss, but the Blazers had 8 players score in double-figures to overcome his performance. Portland won the turnover battle and finished with more fast-break points and points in the paint in the win.
Trail Blazers at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET
Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Warriors -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +7.5 (-105) | Warriors -7.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Trail Blazers at Warriors key injuries
Trail Blazers
F Jerami Grant (illness) probableG Scoot Henderson (hamstring) outG Jrue Holiday (calf) questionableG Damian Lillard (achilles) outG Shaedon Sharpe (calf) questionableF Matisse Thybulle (thumb) outC Robert Williams III (knee) questionable
Warriors
F Jimmy Butler (back) probableF Draymond Green (illness) probableG/F Buddy Hield (illness) probableF Jonathan Kuminga (knee) outG De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Trail Blazers at Warriors picks and predictionsPrediction
Warriors 125, Trail Blazers 116
PASS.
The Warriors will cover here as -325 favorites, given that they will be at nearly full health, while there are lots of injury questions for Portland. However, no favorite set this heavily is worth the risk of betting on, so pass and bet on the safer spread and/or total instead.
LEAN WARRIORS -7.5 (-115).
Defensively is where the Warriors will be able to pull away here, as they have a top-5 defensive rating while Portland is in the bottom 10. The Blazers will have the offensive advantage because they are a top-10 scoring offense, but offense won’t be a worry for the Dubs with Curry and Butler returning against this bruised and battered lineup.
Golden State is also 3-2 ATS in its last 5 games, while the Blazers are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4.
BET OVER 236.5 (-115).
With Portland averaging 120.7 PPG and being so bad defensively, the Over is essentially a lock here. Look for Golden State’s stars to produce a lot of offense for the Warriors and look for the Dubs to get a lot of transition points off of turnovers here to help reach the Over.
The Over is 2-1 in the last 3 for Golden State and is 4-1 in Portland’s last 5. The Over is also 3-1 in the last 4 matchups between these squads.
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