The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-6) and Sacramento Kings (4-13) meet Monday. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Minnesota leads 2-0
Minnesota lost 114-113 to the Phoenix Suns Friday. They failed to cover as a 4.5-point road favorite as the Under (231.5) hit. G Anthony Edwards had 41 points but missed a pair of key free throws late. The Wolves were outrebounded 45-37.
Sacramento pulled off a 128-123 win over the Denver Nuggets Saturday, covering as an 11-point road underdog with the Over (240.5) cashing. G Russell Westbrook and G Dennis Schroder each had 21 points, while 4 other Kings also finished in double figures. The Kings forced 13 turnovers, which led to 20 points.
The Wolves have defeated the Kings by double digits in both meetings this season. Minnesota won 124-110 Nov. 14. Edwards finished with 30 points, and F Julius Randle added 26 points and 11 rebounds.
Timberwolves at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | Kings +325 (bet $100 to win $325)Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -9.5 (-110) | Kings +9.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Timberwolves at Kings key injuries
Timberwolves
F Terrence Shannon Jr. (finger) questionable
Kings
C Domantas Sabonis (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Timberwolves at Kings picks and predictionsPrediction
Timberwolves 119, Kings 107
PASS.
Minnesota is the much better team and will have no problem winning as a -425 favorite, but no team favored so heavily is every worth the risk. Pass and bet the spread and/or total instead.
LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -9.5 (-110).
Minnesota’s offensive rating and scoring offense both rank in the top 10, while the Kings rank in the bottom 10 in both. On the other side, the Wolves have a top-10 defense, while Sacramento gives up the third-most points per game in the league.
The Wolves will be able to score at will, while the Kings will struggle offensively, making way for Minnesota to cover.
This is a lean because the Wolves are just 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).
With Minnesota’s defense being so solid and the Kings scoring just 112 points per game, the Under is nearly a lock. The Under has hit in 6 straight games for Minnesota and is 4-1 in Sacramento’s last 5.
The Wolves are strong offensively but not dynamic enough to drive this game to the Over without some help from the Kings.
Be aware that there is some risk here, as the Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
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