The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
Watch the game on ESPN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 6-11 against the spread, while the Thunder are 10-8 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves+8.5 -110O 227.5 -115290Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 -110U 227.5 -105-375
Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.
Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 68.8% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+20.64 Units / 17% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (+17.15 Units / 14% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+12.92 Units / 15% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 85 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 98 games (+27.35 Units / 5% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 49 games at home (+20.70 Units / 38% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 87 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 6-11 (-6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI).
10-7 against the Moneyline (-3.55 Units / -5.54% ROI)
8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).
17-1 against the Moneyline (+15.35 Units / 11.09% ROI)
9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-31.92 Units / -20% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-25.75 Units / -24% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-24.50 Units / -32% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.50 Units / -16% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 96 games (-18.40 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-21.30 Units / -20% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games (-20.15 Units / -11% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.56 Units / -17% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 away games (-17.15 Units / -26% ROI)
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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Timberwolves are 7-2 (.778) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Timberwolves are 39-5 (.886) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .840
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves were 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,128 points/90 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (232/621) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves are shooting 41% from three (138/341) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are 7-2 (.778) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Timberwolves are 39-5 (.886) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .840
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves were 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,128 points/90 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (232/621) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves are shooting 41% from three (138/341) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are 7-2 (.778) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Timberwolves are 39-5 (.886) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .840
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves were 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,128 points/90 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (232/621) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves are shooting 41% from three (138/341) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3
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