Total Points: Cameron Boozer (DUKE) Under 24.5 (-125)
Cameron Boozer has been electric to start his freshman season, but the 24.5-point line against Arkansas looks like an overreaction. Boozer is averaging 21.1 points on 54.9 percent shooting, impressive by any standard, but he’s only cleared 25 points in three of seven games.
Those outbursts came against lightweights like Howard, Indiana State, and Western Carolina, teams lacking any serious interior resistance. The Razorbacks bring a more physical presence and athleticism inside, the kind of matchup that can limit Boozer’s easy looks around the basket.
He’s still poised to make an impact, but hitting 25 points requires sustained volume and efficiency that may not be there against a tougher SEC defense.
Given the context and Boozer’s actual scoring distribution, the under on 24.5 points at –125 feels like the sharper side. Expect a productive night, just not an explosive one to eclipse this total.