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The Miami Heat (13-6) welcome in the Detroit Pistons (15-4) after victories in four home games in a row. The Heat are currently moderate 3.5-point favorites over the Pistons. The point total for the game is 238.5.
Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Pistons game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Pistons Game Information, TV Channel & OddsWhen: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ETWhere: Kaseya Center in Miami, FloridaTV: FDSSUN and FDSDETXLive Boxscore: FOX Sports Heat vs Pistons Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -3.5 -108 -112 238.5 -110 -110 -156 +132
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Heat vs. Pistons Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 – Pistons 116
Heat vs. Pistons Betting InsightsThe Heat have played 11 games with over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, this year.The Pistons games have gone over 238.5 total points scored in five of 19 total matchups this season.These two teams average 241.7 points per game combined, 3.2 more than the total of 238.5.Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.5 fewer points per game (230) than this matchup’s over/under of 238.5 points.Miami has been the favorite in seven games this season and has come away with the win six times (85.7%) in those contests.Detroit has been victorious in four of the five contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.Detroit has taken three of its last four head-to-head matchups against Miami.The Pistons also have a 3-1 record against the spread when playing the Heat.Versus the point spread, the Pistons have failed to cover for three straight games, and were the favorite in all of those contests.Heat Recent TrendsThe Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games.Miami has averaged a total of 241.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.0 greater than this matchup’s total of 238.5.Against the spread, the Heat are 12-6-1 this season.So far this season, Miami has been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.Heat games this year have hit the over 57.9% of the time (11 out of 19 games with a set point total).The Heat average 122.9 points per game, 10.1 more points than the 112.8 the Pistons give up.When Miami puts up more than 112.8 points, it is 11-3 against the spread and 10-4 overall.The Heat make 47.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (44.3%).Against the spread, the Heat have fared better when playing at home, covering seven times in 10 home games, and five times in nine road games.Looking at point totals, Miami hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total four times in 10 opportunities this season (40%). In away games, it has hit the over seven times in nine opportunities (77.8%). Heat Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 122.9 2 Points Allowed 117.2 18 Rebounds 46.4 4 Assists 30.3 2 Steals 9.0 11 Blocks 4.4 22 Heat LeadersJaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.2 points, 6.3 boards and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.0% from the floor.Kel’el Ware posts 12.4 points, 10.9 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 52.9% from the field and 41.7% from downtown with 1.1 made treys per game.Norman Powell posts 24.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.Davion Mitchell puts up 9.8 points, 2.9 boards and 7.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocks.Andrew Wiggins posts 16.4 points, 4.8 boards and 2.8 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.1 steals and 1.0 block.Pistons Recent TrendsThe Pistons have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 7.1 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.Against the spread, the Pistons are 12-7-0 this year.This season, Detroit won ATS in its only game as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.The Pistons have eclipsed the over/under 52.6% of the time this year (10 of 19 games with a set point total).The Pistons put up an average of 118.8 points per game, only 1.6 more points than the 117.2 the Heat give up to opponents.Detroit has put together an 8-2 ATS record and a 10-0 overall record in games it scores more than 117.2 points.The Pistons are shooting 48.2% from the field, 5.1% higher than the 43.1% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.Against the spread, the Pistons have been better at home (7-3-0) than away (5-4-0).Detroit’s games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (six times out of 10) than away (four of nine) this season.This year the Pistons are 5-1 at home as moneyline favorites (.833 winning percentage). On the road they are 6-2 (.750).Pistons Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 118.8 12 Points Allowed 112.8 5 Rebounds 46.6 3 Assists 26.3 13 Steals 9.7 4 Blocks 6.2 2 Pistons LeadersCade Cunningham is putting up 28.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists per game. He’s also sinking 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 31.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.The Pistons are receiving 19.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Jalen Duren this year.Ausar Thompson is averaging 12.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He is draining 50.0% of his shots from the field.Duncan Robinson is putting up 12.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. He is draining 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 40.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest.Isaiah Stewart is averaging 10.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 51.3% of his shots from the field and 41.5% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per contest.
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