The Milwaukee Bucks (9-12) face the Washington Wizards (2-16) Monday at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with tip-off set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Bucks lead 1-0 with 133-120 victory Oct. 22, covering as 10-point home favorite as Over (228.5) cashed
The Bucks stopped their 7-game skid Saturday, taking down the Brooklyn Nets 116-99. Milwaukee covered as an 11.5-point home favorite as the Under (218.5) hit. All 5 starters reached double figures, led by F Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 29 points. The Bucks’ defense set the tone, forcing 20 turnovers.
The Wizards lost 119-86 Friday to the Indiana Pacers, failing to cover as 6.5-point road underdogs as the Under (240.5) hit. Washington struggled from deep at 7-for-32 (22%). C Alex Sarr posted 24 points and 9 rebounds, but the Wizards were outscored 58-38 in the paint.
Bucks at Wizards odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Bucks -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Wizards +290 (bet $100 to win $290)Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -8.5 (-110) | Wizards +8.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Bucks at Wizards key injuries
Bucks
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
F Giannis Antetokounmpo (hip) probable
Wizards
G Sharife Cooper (calf) outG Tre Johnson (hip flexor) outF Corey Kispert (thumb) outF Will Riley (coccyx) questionableC Alex Sarr (hip) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Bucks at Wizards picks and predictionsPrediction
Bucks 122, Wizards 110
PASS.
I’ve got the Bucks (-375) winning comfortably which means I’ll take my wager to the spread.
BET BUCKS -8.5 (-110).
If there’s one matchup I feel pretty good about on Monday night, it’s Milwaukee taking care of business against Washington. The Bucks have completely dominated this series — 9 wins in their last 10, including a 13-point victory earlier this season — and nothing I’ve seen from the Wizards lately suggests that trend is changing.
With Giannis probable, Milwaukee should look much more like itself. Most of their recent skid happened while he was out, and the difference when he’s on the floor is massive. Add in G Ryan Rollins finding a rhythm, and the Bucks have more than enough firepower.
The Wizards? Their defense has been a problem all year. They’re giving up 127.7 points per game, last in the NBA, and they don’t force turnovers or disrupt anything offensively. Milwaukee should get whatever shots they want, especially since Washington is missing key rotation guys like Johnson and Kispert.
The Bucks shoot it better, defend better, rebound better — just check every box. And with Washington sitting at 2-16 and sinking fast, I don’t see them suddenly punching up here.
PASS.
I’m passing on the total in this Wizards–Bucks matchup because I honestly don’t trust either side enough to bet it. The Over has hit in 7 of their last 10 meetings, but Milwaukee has gone Under in 7 of its last 10, and Washington is missing too much scoring to feel confident either way. If I had to lean, I’d go Under — but with how bad the Wizards’ defense has been, an Over wouldn’t surprise me one bit.
For me, this is a no-play.
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