The Miami Heat (14-7) are favored by 4 points against the Dallas Mavericks (7-15) on Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Heat 121, Mavericks 114.

Moneyline Pick: Heat (-173)
Total Pick: Under 239.5 (computer predicts 235.0 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (-4)
Recent Heat vs. Mavericks Matchups

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami’s ATS record is 13-7-1 this season.
The Heat have a 4-3 record against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.
Miami’s games have gone over the point total in 12 out of 22 opportunities (54.5%).
The Heat have entered the game as favorites nine times this season and won seven of those games.
This season, Miami has won six of its seven games when favored by at least -173 on the moneyline.
Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

Dallas has gone 11-11-0 ATS this year.
The Mavericks are 7-3 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.
Eight of Dallas’ 22 games with a set total have hit the over (36.4%).
The Mavericks have gone 4-11 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 26.7% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +145 or longer, Dallas has a record of 2-8 (20%).

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Heat vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Pelle Larsson: Day-To-Day (Foot),

Keshad Johnson: Day-To-Day (Head)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee),

Daniel Gafford: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

P.J. Washington: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Dante Exum: Out For Season (Knee)

Heat vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV
Location: Dallas, Texas
Arena: American Airlines Center
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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