The Dallas Mavericks return home for a rematch with the Miami Heat, hoping to extend their win streak to three. Dallas nearly stole the last meeting in Miami, falling 106–102 despite missing Anthony Davis and relying on a hobbled rotation.

Now, with Davis back in the mix and Ryan Nembhard stepping into his own as a confident floor general, the Mavericks are showing signs of cohesion. Cooper Flagg continues his upward trajectory, and Klay Thompson is flashing vintage spurts — but Miami, simply put, is a different beast.

The Heat are running arguably the wildest offense in the league. They average just 12 screens per 100 possessions — dead last by a mile — and opt instead for non-stop movement, cuts, flare-outs, and early-shot-clock aggression. It’s systemized chaos. Spoelstra has turned this roster into a sprint-and-sling machine that thrives off pace and misdirection. They’re currently second in the league in both points and assists per game, and it feels earned.

Tyler Herro (24.8 PPG), Norman Powell (25.0 PPG), and Andrew Wiggins (17.5 PPG) are all in rhythm coming off injury returns, and Miami just posted 124+ in three straight contests. It’s a lot for a short-handed Dallas team to contain — especially if Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington (both GTD with ankle issues) don’t suit up.

Let’s scan the lines in search of value.

Fixture: Miami Heat (14–7, 6–4 away) at Dallas Mavericks (7–15, 4–5 home)
Tipoff: December 3 | American Airlines Center | 7:30 p.m. CST
TV: KFAA Channel 29, MavsTV, NBA League Pass
DraftKings Line as of 5:00am CST: MIA -4.5 | O/U 240.5 | ML: MIA -175 / DAL +145

Injury Report Highlights:

Spread: Heat -4.5 at Mavericks
Lean: Heat -4.5

Total: 240.5
Lean: Over 240.5

Tyler Herro over 21.5 points (-111)
Herro’s played four games since returning from ankle surgery — averaging 24.8 PPG. The Mavs have no stopper at the point of attack, and he should get plenty of clean looks curling off movement and exploiting mismatches in transition.

Anthony Davis over 11.5 rebounds (+102)
Davis dropped 32 points in the last game and is averaging nearly 10 RPG on the season. With Lively out and Gafford questionable, AD could feast on the glass against a Miami squad that sends multiple cutters but often concedes weak-side rebounding.

Norman Powell over 2.5 threes (-142)
It’s juiced, but for good reason — Powell’s hit 3+ triples in every game since returning. With the Mavs rotating slower forwards like PJ and Max Christie, Powell should get his shots off.