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The Thunder are off to a historic start. 

Oddsmakers are taking notice, to say the least. 

Oklahoma City, the reigning champs and a heavy preseason favorite to repeat, are a massive +125 favorite to win the NBA Finals for a second straight season. 

If that number holds or improves, the Thunder would be the biggest favorite heading into the playoffs since the 2019 Warriors were -179 to win the championship before Round 1 kicked off, according to Sports Odds History. 

In the Western Conference, OKC is a -125 favorite. 

Something even more historic than that is becoming more and more realistic by the game. 

After moving to 21-1 after a Tuesday night road win over the Warriors, the Thunder are now just +550 at FanDuel Sportsbook to win 74 or more games, which would break the single-season record set by Golden State in 2015-16.

Oddsmakers are giving them essentially a 50/50 shot at reaching 70-plus wins, pegging them at +100 to hit that number. 

Chet Holmgren #7 of the Oklahoma City Thunder goes to the basket during the first half against the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on November 09, 2025 in Memphis, Tennessee. Chet Holmgren goes up for a layup during the first half of the Thunders’ road win over the Grizzlies on Nov. 9, 2025. Getty Images

They’re essentially a shoo-in to finish with the most wins in the NBA this season as well (-1500). 

The wild Thunder forecasts aren’t at all surprising given their start to the season. 

OKC’s current Net Rating (+15.1) would be easily the best in NBA history. 

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They’re just the fourth team in NBA history to win at least 21 of their first 22 games, joining the 1969-70 Knicks, 1993-94 Rockets, and those 2015-16 Warriors. 

The former two teams won the championship while Golden State lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA Finals. 

They’ve done all of this so far with Jalen Williams, arguably the team’s second-best player behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, playing in just three games.

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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.