Our expert NBA predictions expect the Pistons to cover as huge home favorites against a Milwaukee Bucks group without Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Dec 6, 2025 • 09:54 ET
• 4 min read
Photo By – Imagn Images. Duncan Robinson of the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons and Milwaukee Bucks meet for the third time in two weeks, with the Pistons looking to get back on track after splitting the first two games.
Detroit’s loss on Tuesday was the team’s low point in a recent 3-3 stretch. Milwaukee pulled off the upset despite only getting three minutes and two points from Giannis Antetokounmpo.
My Bucks vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks call for Detroit to get revenge in a get-well cover on Saturday, December 6.
Bucks vs Pistons prediction
Bucks vs Pistons best bet: Pistons -12.5 (-110)
The Detroit Pistons rolled two Saturdays ago in Milwaukee, winning their 12th straight game and their 4th in five games by double figures. Since then, it’s been tough going for the Pistons. Their seven games since have all been decided by six points or less, and Detroit has gone 4-3, 1-6 ATS.
That includes a five-point win over 5-18 Indiana, a six-point win over 9-14 Portland, and a loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.
No one is panicking on the Pistons, though. The team still leads the Eastern Conference and got Duncan Robinson back in the last game after missing time due to a sprained ankle, including the loss to the Bucks.
The Pistons may also get Marcus Sasser back. The third-year guard hasn’t played yet this season, but he was added to the active roster.
As Detroit gets healthy, Milwaukee was hit with some rough injury news. Giannis left the Detroit game in the first quarter with a calf problem and won’t play again until 2026.
Even with Antetokounmpo, the Bucks have struggled. The upset over Detroit was just their second victory this season over a team with a winning record. They are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as the underdog.
It’s safe to say the Bucks have Detroit’s attention. After years of Milwaukee dominating the series, this was the Pistons’ season to take control. They’ll be motivated to show Tuesday was a fluke and put this stretch of mediocrity behind them.
After surviving without Giannis on Tuesday, the Bucks came back to earth with a double-digit loss to Philly in the last game.
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Bucks vs Pistons same-game parlay
Detroit has gone Under in four of its last six, Milwaukee in five of six. It’s a low cutoff, but the Bucks have cleared lower, going under 218.5 against Brooklyn and under 221.5 last game against the Sixers.
Kevin Porter Jr. has scored 76 points in his last three games. He’s hit more than half (9 of 17) of his three-point attempts and has gone to the line 16 times in two games without missing a free throw. He’s Milwaukee’s source of offense until Giannis is back.
Bucks vs Pistons SGP
Pistons -12.5
Kevin Porter Jr. Over 20.5 points
Under 224.5
Our “from downtown” SGP: Downtown Duncan!
Duncan Robinson is averaging 12.5 points and scored 14 in his first game back, knocking down four of six threes.
He hit 5-of-6 from three in the first Bucks game. Robinson had at least 10 shot attempts in three of the four games before his injury.
Bucks vs Pistons SGP
Pistons -12.5
Kevin Porter Jr. Over 20.5 points
Under 224.5
Duncan Robinson Over 10.5 points
Bucks vs Pistons odds
Spread: Bucks +12.5 (-105) | Pistons -12.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Bucks +525 | Pistons -750
Over/Under: Over 223.5 (-110) | Under 223.5 (-110)
Bucks vs Pistons betting trend to know
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the game total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Pistons.
How to watch Bucks vs Pistons
Location
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Wisconsin, FDSN Detroit
Bucks vs Pistons latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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