The Sacramento Kings (5-17) visit the Miami Heat (14-9) on Saturday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida is at 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Kings vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Kings won 2-0
The Kings have lost their last 4 games and are only 2-12 in their last 14 contests. They last played Wednesday, getting blown out 121-95 by the Houston Rockets as 15.5-point road underdogs with the Under (231) cashing. C Max Raynaud and G Malik Monk each scored 25 in a losing effort. They’re running without F Domantas Sabonis (knee).
The Heat recently had a 6-game winning streak, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 and their last two games. They lost Friday to teh Orlando Magic 106-105 as 7-point road underdogs with the Under (241) cashing. F Bam Adebayo missed a shot at the buzzer for the win, but he also moved into third place on Miami’s all-time list with his 24 for the game.
Kings at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Kings +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +8.5 (-115) | Heat -8.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Heat key injuries
Kings
C Domantas Sabonis (knee) outG Dennis Schroder (hip) out)
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
G Tyler Herro (toe) doubtfulG Norman Powell (ankle) questionableG Terry Rozier III (personal) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Heat 114, Kings 103
Miami is 10-2 at home this season, while the Kings are 2-10 in away games, and the Heat are 3-0 in games on the back end of a back-to-back.
The Heat are 3-1 this season against the Pacific Division, and the Kings are simply not playing well.
The Heat should win, but the -325 odds don’t win you enough to make it worth your while.
PASS.
Eleven of the Kings’ last 12 losses have been by at least 9 points, and 4 of the Heat’s last 8 wins have been by more than 8 points. Half of Miami’s 14 wins this season have been by fewer than 9 points.
With a 14-9 ATS mark for Miami, which matches their straight-up win-loss record a and 7-14-1 ATS mark for Sacramento, only slightly better than their actual record, we can look at Miami’s 2-1 ATS record on no rest to give us the edge.
BET HEAT -8.5 (-105).
Only 2 of the Kings’ last 10 games have reached 240 total points. Four of the last 6 games and 6 of the last 10 for the Heat have not. One of their 2 meeting did last season, but that game went into overtime.
BET UNDER 239.5 (-110).
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