The Golden State Warriors (11-12) and Cleveland Cavaliers (14-10) meet Saturday at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Cavaliers swept 2-0
Cleveland swept the season series in 2024-25, and it was also 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in those matchups. In the win in Cleveland, the Cavaliers won 136-117 as a 3.5-point favorite as the Over (230 cashed on Nov. 8, 2024.
The Warriors kicked off the 3-game Eastern Conference road trip with an 99-98 loss at Philadelphia as a 4-point underdog as the Under (223.5) cashed. Golden State fell behind 30-10 after 1 quarter, and 4 of 5 starters finished with 6 or fewer points. Only G Moses Moody showed up in the starting lineup, finishing with 14 points.
The Cavaliers topped the San Antonio Spurs 130-117 as 5.5-point favorites as the Over (238.5) cashed. Down C Jarrett Allen (finger) and G Darius Garland (toe) due to injuries, F Nae’Qwan Tomlin and G Jaylon Tyson stepped into the lineup against the Spurs. Tyson went for 24 points, 6 rebounds and 2 blocks, hitting 11-of-15 from the field.
The Cavaliers have still dropped 4 of the past 6 games despite the win over the Spurs, and they’re also 2-4 ATS in the span. The Over and Under have alternated in each of the past 6 outings.
Cleveland, playing on no rest this season, is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS, while cashing the Over in 3 of the 5 instances.
Warriors at Cavaliers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Warriors +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Cavaliers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)Against the spread: Warriors +7.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -7.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Warriors at Cavaliers injuries
Warriors
F Jimmy Butler (knee) questionableG Seth Curry (toe) questionableG Stephen Curry (quadriceps) outF Draymond Green (foot) questionableC Al Horford (back) outG De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
Cavaliers
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
C Jarrett Allen (finger) outG Darius Garland (toe) outG Sam Merrill (hand) outF Larry Nance Jr. (calf) outG Tyrese Proctor (personal) outF Max Strus (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Cavaliers picks and predictionsPrediction
Cavaliers 116, Warriors 110
PASS.
The Cavaliers (-300) will set you back 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for a very, very small return.
Over the long term, betting such heavy favorites is not a recommended betting strategy, and there is plenty of risk with Cleveland having just playing Friday.
The WARRIORS +7.5 (-110) are worth a look catching more nearly 4 buckets. Again the Cavaliers just played Friday night, albeit at home, but they expended a lot of energy, and Cleveland was playing down 2 starters. Now, it faces the quick turnaround, and that’s a tall order.
The Warriors are still down Curry, while Jimmy Buckets carries a questionable tag into the game. That’s a concern. But, Golden State is 4-2 ATS in the past 6 games on the road. Look for Golden State to at least hang around.
The UNDER 228.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 games for the Warriors. The total went high in Friday’s game, but the Under is 8-3 in the past 11 games for the Cavaliers.
The Under is 3-2 in the past 5 meetings in Cleveland, while the Under has cashed at a 7-3 clip in the 10 in the series dating back to Feb. 15, 2021.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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