It’s the battle of Texas tonight as the Houston Rockets visit the struggling Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.
Kevin Durant is balling out lately, and my Rockets vs Mavericks predictions are eyeing him to light up the Dallas defense here.
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Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, December 6.
Rockets vs Mavericks prediction
Rockets vs Mavericks best bet: Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points (-110)
Kevin Durant has been everything the Houston Rockets could’ve asked for and more this season. The superstar is averaging 25.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 3.9 assists, helping lead Houston to an impressive 15-5 record.
He’s cashed the Over in points in two of his last three outings, scoring 28 points last time out in a revenge game against the Phoenix Suns on Friday evening. He also had 24 points on Wednesday while dropping 32 on the Utah Jazz at the beginning of the week.
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While KD only had 21 earlier this season against the Dallas Mavericks, he cooked them in 2024-25. Across four meetings, he averaged 28.3 PPG. Dallas is not playing well, and Durant cashed the Over in his last game on the road on Monday.
I’ll take him to have another solid performance.
Rockets vs Mavericks same-game parlay
Cooper Flagg has had a lot of expectations on his shoulders as the number one overall pick. He’s put up productive numbers, averaging 17.2 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.3 assists so far.
Flagg has hit the Over in points in three of his last four, and even in his most recent game, the rookie finished with 16 points.
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Flagg even erupted for 35 points a week ago against the Los Angeles Clippers. He’s averaging 17.3 PPG at home, and the youngster is playing with confidence at the moment.
Klay Thompson is shooting 35% from downtown this season, averaging 2.7 makes on 7.7 attempts per night. He’s draining 40% of his threes in December so far, and the veteran has cashed the Over in six of his last seven.
Despite a 1-for-5 performance on Friday evening, Klay was 5-for-12 from beyond the arc on Wednesday evening. He’s also shooting it better at home, averaging 3.0 makes compared to 2.3 on the road.
Rockets vs Mavericks SGP
Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points
Cooper Flagg Over 16.5 points
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 threes
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Our “from downtown” SGP: Rockets take off
Houston is riding a two-game winning streak, and they’ve beaten both of those opponents by an average of 22.5 points.
Rockets vs Mavericks SGP
Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points
Cooper Flagg Over 16.5 points
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 threes
Rockets vs Mavericks odds
Spread: Houston -8.5 (-110) | Dallas +8.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Houston -400 | Dallas +320
Over/Under: Over 224.5 (-110) | Under 224.5 (-110)
Rockets vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.62 Units / 16% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Rockets vs Mavericks
Location
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Tip-off
8:30 p.m. ET
TV
SCHN, KFAA
Rockets vs Mavericks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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