Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets hit the road tonight to face the struggling Sacramento Kings at the Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET.
Jokic is play-making at a ridiculous level this season, but as my Nuggets vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks will explain, his total is too high for my liking.
Advertisement
Nuggets vs Kings prediction
Nuggets vs Kings best bet: Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 assists (-110)
Nikola Jokic is arguably the best passing big man ever, and he’s easily one of the top facilitators in the Association. The numbers say it all — Jokic is averaging 11 dimes per game this season, and he’s a serious contender in the MVP odds once again.
However, his total is set at 10.5 assists on the road against the Sacramento Kings, and he’s averaged 9.3 dimes against them this season across three meetings. He’s also averaging 10.2 assists on the road compared to 12.1 at home.
Advertisement
The Joker has cashed the Under in dimes in two of his last three games on the road as well. I have no question he’s going to be picking apart Sacramento’s defense, but this line is just a smidge too high.
Nuggets vs Kings same-game parlay
Russell Westbrook is averaging 13.9 points per game while playing just under 30 minutes per night, but he’s averaging north of 20 ppg against the Denver Nuggets this season. He also scored 24 points last time out against the Pacers.
Jamal Murray is an electrifying scorer, and although he’s not always consistent, the averages are still impressive. Murray is averaging 25 ppg, and he just erupted for a staggering 52 points last Wednesday in a victory over Indiana.
Advertisement
The Kentucky product is also averaging 27.3 ppg on the road compared to just 21.8 at home. Despite averaging just 20.3 points against Sacramento this season, I’ll take him to have a big night.
Nuggets vs Kings SGP
Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 assists
Russell Westbrook Over 17.5 points
Jamal Murray Over 24.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Player props galore
Cameron Johnson has cashed the Over for triples in two of his last three games, and both of those games were on the road.
Nuggets vs Kings SGP
Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 assists
Russell Westbrook Over 17.5 points
Jamal Murray Over 24.5 points
Cam Johnson Over 2.5 threes
Nuggets vs Kings odds
Spread: Nuggets -10 | Kings +10
Moneyline: Nuggets -450 | Kings +350
Over/Under: Over 239.5 | Under 239.5
Nuggets vs Kings betting trend to know
The Nuggets have won 23 of their last 36 road games for +19.55 units and a 28% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Kings.
Advertisement
How to watch Nuggets vs Kings
Location
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date
Thursday, December 11, 2025
Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
ALT, NBCS-California
Nuggets vs Kings latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here