The Trail Blazers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
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The Portland Trail Blazers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 13-11 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 15-10 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePortland Trail Blazers-4.5 -110O 240.5 -110-185New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -110U 240.5 -110150
Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+24.52 Units / 32% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 2H Spread in 43 of their last 65 games (+20.62 Units / 29% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+16.13 Units / 21% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 13-11 (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI).
9-15 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -10.78% ROI)
15-9 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI)
9-15 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 15-10 (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).
3-22 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -66.08% ROI)
15-10 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
10-15 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 82 games (-32.10 Units / -32% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-22.75 Units / -25% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.05 Units / -20% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.95 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 53 games (-16.70 Units / -27% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.00 Units / -19% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 69 games (-14.70 Units / -19% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 61 games (-14.05 Units / -20% ROI)
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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Pelicans are shooting 73% from the free throw line (863/1,180) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Pelicans have averaged 28.6 points in the paint per game (716 points/25 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3
The Pelicans have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .484
The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Pelicans are 2-12 (.143) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Pelicans are shooting 73% from the free throw line (863/1,180) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Pelicans have averaged 28.6 points in the paint per game (716 points/25 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3
The Pelicans have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .484
The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Pelicans are 2-12 (.143) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Pelicans are shooting 73% from the free throw line (863/1,180) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Pelicans have averaged 28.6 points in the paint per game (716 points/25 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3
The Pelicans have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .484
The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Pelicans are 2-12 (.143) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462
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