The Miami Heat (15-13) and New York Knicks (19-8) meet Sunday at 6 p.m. ET from Madison Square Garden in New York, New York. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Knicks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 2-1
The Heat lost to the Boston Celtics 129-116 Friday, failing to cover as an 8-point road underdog with the Over (234) cashing. Miami had all 5 starters hit double figures and was led by C Kel’el Ware, who tallied 24 points. Miami has lost 6 of its last 7 games and has gone 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 14-14 ATS on the season.
The Knicks lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 116-107 at home Friday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Under (233.5) hit. G Jalen Brunson scored 22 points and dished out 9 assists in the loss. New York, not counting its NBA Cup Championship victory Tuesday (which didn’t count for its regular-season record), has won 6 of its last 7 games and has gone 5-2 ATS in those. It is 17-10 ATS on the season.
Heat at Knicks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Heat +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Knicks -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Heat +7.5 (-102) | Knicks -7.5 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Heat at Knicks key injuries
Heat
G Tyler Herro (big toe) outF Pelle Larsson (ankle) outG Davion Mitchell (ankle) questionableF Andrew Wiggins (back) questionable
Knicks
G Miles McBride (ankle) outG Landry Shamet (shoulder) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Knicks picks and predictionsPrediction
Knicks 121, Heat 111
PASS.
There’s no playable value here. The Knicks (-325) have been incredible at home yet are too pricey to consider.
BET KNICKS -7.5 (-118).
The Knicks have been rewarding bettors as of late. They are 9-3 ATS across their last 12 performances and are 5-1 ATS in that span at home. New York is 17-8 ATS as a favorite this season.
The Heat have been the opposite of hot, having lost 4 of their last 5 games and each by at least 9 points. They have failed to cover in 5 straight and are 1-2 ATS in their previous 3 games as an underdog.
Take KNICKS -7.5 (-115).
BET UNDER 236.5 (-110).
If there’s one way both teams are leaning, it is the Under. The Knicks have gone Under in 3 of their last 5 contests, scoring 117 or fewer points in 4 of those performances.
The Heat are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 outings and have struggled immensely offensively. They have scored 111 or fewer points in all but one of those games. Take UNDER 236.5 (-110).
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