The Memphis Grizzlies (13-15) travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (25-3) Monday. Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Oklahoma City leads 1-0
Memphis was handed a 130-122 loss by the Washington Wizards on Saturday, failing to cover as a 12.5-point home favorite as the Over (228.5) cashed. Santi Aldama finished with 37 points off the bench, but he couldn’t score enough to overcome Washington’s 77-54 second-half advantage. The Grizzlies gave up 24 points off turnovers to the Wizards.
Oklahoma City lost 112-107 to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday, failing to cover as a 7-point road favorite while the Under (231) hit. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 35 points but turned the ball over and got blocked on back-to-back possessions in the clutch to seal the loss. The Thunder lost the rebounding battle and were outscored 33-28 from the charity stripe Friday.
The Thunder beat Memphis 114-100 on Nov. 9, covering as a 10.5-point road favorite with the Under (230.5) hitting. Gilgeous-Alexander put up 35 points to lead the Thunder, who got just 13 points from the bench in the win. The Grizzlies scored only 38 points in the second half of the loss.
Grizzlies at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:25 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Thunder -1400 (bet $1400 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +15.5 (-105) | Thunder -15.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries
Grizzlies
C Zach Edey (ankle) outG Ja Morant (ankle) outG Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) outF Vince Williams Jr. (knee) out
Thunder
G Alex Caruso (finger) questionableC Isaiah Hartenstein (leg) outF/C Chet Holmgren (back) questionableG/F Aaron Wiggins (adductor) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Thunder picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 118, Grizzlies 102
PASS.
The Thunder are the much better team and will easily cover as -1400 favorites, but the risk of backing them here is not worth the reward. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.
LEAN THUNDER -15.5 (-115).
With OKC having just lost 2 of its last 3 games, look for the Thunder to come out with a different level of intensity to make this one ugly early. Expect the Thunder to force a lot of turnovers and suffocate this Grizzlies offense that is missing many key contributors.
The Thunder are 10-0 against Memphis in the last 10 matchups while going 7-3 against the spread across those 10 battles.
This is a lean because a point spread of 15.5 is always a bit risky, especially considering that the Grizzlies are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
BET UNDER 229.5 (-110).
OKC’s defense is legendary, and when this team really wants to lock in and get a win badly, it’s that defense that always serves as the catalyst.
The Under has hit in 2 of Memphis’ last 3 games and is 6-3 in its last 9 overall. For Oklahoma City, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Under is also 7-2-1 in the previous 10 overall matchups between these squads, hitting in each of the last 3 meetings in Oklahoma City.
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