The Heat are -5.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
Watch the game on FSUN | SNET
The Toronto Raptors visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Raptors vs Heat Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 12-17 against the spread, while the Heat are 15-13 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread
Total
Money
Raptors
Heat
Heat vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Heat.
Heat vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 65.8% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 73 games (+20.60 Units / 25% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 73 games (+17.29 Units / 18% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+16.85 Units / 20% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+25.65 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 88 games (+23.95 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+21.80 Units / 23% ROI)
The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -20.3% ROI).
17-13 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 4.2% ROI)
11-19 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI)
19-11 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 15-13 (+0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI).
15-14 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -1.84% ROI)
14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 89 games (-33.33 Units / -29% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 80 games (-28.45 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.83 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.15 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-22.70 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 73 games (-31.50 Units / -37% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-27.05 Units / -29% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.70 Units / -31% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-16.25 Units / -17% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.81 Units / -16% ROI)
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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Heat have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,097 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (730 blocks/193 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (365 blocks/96 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (3,595 points/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,097 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (730 blocks/193 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (365 blocks/96 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (3,595 points/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,097 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (730 blocks/193 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (365 blocks/96 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (3,595 points/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
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