On Christmas Day, the San Antonio Spurs take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in what could be the best game on the NBA’s five-game slate on December 25, 2025. Keep reading for odds, picks, and player props for this game, and make sure you also check out our live VSiN programming for more analysis. Our talented hosts and analysts will surely spend some time talking about these games.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

How To Watch Spurs vs. Thunder

When: Thursday, December 25th at 2:30 pm ET

Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Channel: ESPN / ABC

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publish. They can change. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Thunder -345, Spurs +275

Spread: Thunder -8.5 (-120), Spurs +8.5 (+100)

Total: Over 235.5 (-110), Under 235.5 (-110)

Spurs vs. Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are a perfect 14-0 at home this season. Will that change on Christmas Day? Oklahoma City is hosting a San Antonio team that has won the last two meetings between the teams. The first win for the Spurs was a 111-109 victory over the Thunder in the Emirates NBA Cup semifinals. That game was played on a neutral floor in Vegas. Then, San Antonio beat up on Oklahoma City on Tuesday night, winning 130-110 against a Thunder team that was playing at full strength. Now, many are saying San Antonio is Oklahoma City’s kryptonite.

Theoretically, this should be the ultimate bounce-back spot for the Thunder. This is the best team in basketball, so they shouldn’t lose to the same team three times in a row. Also, under Mark Daigneault, Oklahoma City is 75-58 against the spread when looking for revenge for a same-season loss against an opponent. However, that same trend applied when the teams met Tuesday, and that didn’t stop the Spurs from winning outright.

I’m just not sure you can apply basic betting trends to this matchup. I know the Thunder are a world-class team defensively, but it’s been clear for two years that they can struggle to handle their business against teams that can match their physicality. Well, the Spurs have proven they can do that. San Antonio has some absolute dogs in the backcourt, and Victor Wembanyama is the best defensive player in basketball. The Spurs also play with an edge when facing the Thunder, making them one of the few teams in the league that won’t back down from this challenge.

The Spurs also come into this game with a 14-4 record in their last 18 games. In that span, they have been a top-five offense when it comes to points per 100 possessions (121.1). Well, they now have Wembanyama back in the mix, giving them an elite vertical threat in pick-and-roll plays, an unfair floor-spacer at the center spot, and another player that can score in isolation. The offense is only going to get better. However, with Wembanyama on the floor, the Spurs are in the 97th percentile when it comes to points allowed per 100 possessions (103.9). That said, there’s a real chance San Antonio is trending towards being a top-five team both offensively and defensively.

Another thing I like about the Spurs in this specific matchup is how good the shooting has been. I was nervous about how this San Antonio team would be about providing space for the off-the-dribble scorers to work, which is why I had the Under on the Spurs’ win total — combined with a little pessimism when it comes to Wembanyama’s health. But San Antonio has been just fine shooting the 3-ball. The Spurs are tied for eighth in the league in 3-point percentage (36.7%), and the role players have really stepped up when it comes to knocking down shots. Well, one weak spot for Oklahoma City is the team’s 3-point defense, so the Spurs can make them pay by knocking down some jumpers. And if they do that, life becomes easier for all of the stars when it comes to getting to the rim. However, I’m not sure Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, and De’Aaron Fox need help. All three of them live in the paint.

It’s also worth noting that the Spurs are 3-0 both straight-up and against the spread as road favorites of 6.5 to 12 points this season. They won’t be intimidated going into the Paycom Center, even if it is a tough place to win. The Thunder are also just 4-7 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, which speaks to their inability to comfortably beat other good teams.

Spurs vs. Thunder Player Props

Stephon Castle Over 1.5 Made 3s (+152 – 0.5 units)

Castle is averaging 3.0 made triples per game against the Thunder this season, so I’m willing to take another shot on the talented guard to make multiple 3s. I had this in the Spurs-Thunder game on Tuesday, when Castle made four 3s and was going off at +130 just to hit two.

I know that Castle isn’t the best shooter in the world, but he’s willing to take them when open. He’s actually averaging 5.5 attempts per game against Oklahoma City in two meetings this year, and that volume makes this play a flier worth taking. I also think that Castle will end up creeping up towards 35% from 3 on the season. He’s only at 30.5% at the moment, but he works hard on his craft.

Spurs vs. Thunder Pick

I wouldn’t be surprised if Oklahoma City wins this game. I think the Thunder are a better basketball team than the Spurs, and the revenge angle counts for something. However, I don’t see this being an Oklahoma City blowout. San Antonio does too many things well that can bother the defending champions.

Bet: Spurs +9.5 (-114 – 1.5 units) & Castle Over 1.5 Made 3s (+152 – 0.5 units)