The Golden State Warriors (15-15) are looking to remain in the win column as they host the Dallas Mavericks (12-19) on Christmas Day.

Golden State has gotten off to a lackluster .500 start to the season and currently sits in the play-in tournament range of the Western Conference standings. Consistency has proved to be an issue for G Stephen Curry and company over the first three months of the year as they’ve had difficulty stringing victories together.

Below, we’ll preview the game and break down a Mavericks vs. Warriors prediction and picks on PrizePicks for today, including player projections for Cooper Flagg and Jimmy Butler.

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Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Golden State has only had one instance in which they produced a three-game winning streak up to this point in the season. As a result, the Warriors possess just a 15-15 record and currently sit in eighth place in the Western Conference standings. It is worth noting that this group is coming off back-to-back wins, including a 120-97 triumph vs. the Orlando Magic on Monday.

Despite struggling at times this season, Dallas is currently just outside of playoff contention as they sit in 11th place in the West and are just a half game out of a play-in spot. After a pair of single-digit losses, the Mavericks bounced back in a big way by beating the Denver Nuggets for the second time in as many chances this season.

In a tale as old as time, the Warriors are being paced by the play of Stephen Curry. Curry has put together averages of 28.7 points, 4.3 assists, and 3.2 rebounds, while shooting 39.8% from beyond the arc. In addition, Curry is averaging 31.2 points and knocking down 41.8% of his shots from deep this month.

Meanwhile, Mavericks F Cooper Flagg has really turned the corner after a slow start to his rookie campaign. In December, the 2025 top pick is averaging 24.1 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.5 assists, while shooting 52.7% from the floor. He’s also topped the 20-point mark in seven of his 10 contests.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Over/Under, Spread

The Warriors are 6.5-point favorites, returning a 1.29x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Mavericks will return a 3.22x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Spread: Golden State Warriors -6.5Over/Under: 226.5Gamer Winner Payout: Mavericks 3.22x | Warriors 1.29x

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Mavericks vs. Warriors today.

The Warriors are 7-6 against the spread at home.The Mavericks are 5-7 against the spread on the road.Dallas is 8-2 against the spread as a road underdog.Dallas has won five of its previous seven meetings against Golden State.Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today

Here are some of the top Mavericks vs. Warriors picks on PrizePicks for today. Player projections are via the PrizePicks real-money NBA game.

Mavericks F Cooper Flagg vs. Warriors Projection – 29.5 PRAFlagg is averaging 33.0 combined points, rebounds, and assists in 10 games this month.The former Duke forward has secured a 13.3% defensive rebounding rate, per databallr. That ranks in the 89th percentile.Flagg is only shooting 24.2% from three this season, but he’s converting 54.5% of his two-point attempts, per databallr. That ranks in the 67th percentile.The 2025 number one pick registers 9.6 potential assists per 100, per databallr. That ranks in the 76th percentile.Warriors F Jimmy Butler vs. Mavericks Projection – 26.5 Pts+RebsThe Warriors standout is averaging 26.0 combined points and rebounds in his last five games.Jimmy Buckets pulls down 43.7% of contested rebounds, while also securing 2.4 contested boards per contest, per databallr.Butler tallies 23.6 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, per databallr. That ranks in the 79th-percentile in the NBA.Butler is shooting 50.0% (4-of-8) from three over his last four games.

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Make Mavericks vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks

The Warriors will be looking to build on their winning streak, while the Mavericks will be aiming to take down another Western Conference foe on Christmas Day. Stephen Curry will lead the charge for the Warriors and Cooper Flagg will look to stay hot on the big stage.

There are plenty of options worth considering on PrizePicks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on at least two stat projections, then earn real-money rewards if you’re right.

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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