The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
Watch the game on ABC | ESPN
The San Antonio Spurs visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Spurs vs Thunder Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 17-13 against the spread, while the Thunder are 16-14 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineSan Antonio Spurs+9.5 -105O 234.5 -110280Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 -115U 234.5 -110-350
Thunder vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Thunder.
Thunder vs Spurs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+30.50 Units / 40% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+19.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.10 Units / 23% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 73% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 78 games (+23.45 Units / 5% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 41 games at home (+18.55 Units / 11% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 48 games at home (+14.00 Units / 12% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 17-13 (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).
22-8 against the Moneyline (+21 Units / 28.99% ROI)
16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 16-14 (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).
26-4 against the Moneyline (+14.6 Units / 6.54% ROI)
16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 91 games (-32.80 Units / -21% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.70 Units / -19% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 54 games (-20.50 Units / -33% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.50 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 61 games (-25.30 Units / -36% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.25 Units / -21% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.50 Units / -24% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-18.10 Units / -29% ROI)
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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Spurs have averaged 120.4 points per game (3,492 points/29 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Spurs have averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,565 points/1,118 shots) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Spurs have averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (419 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 13-50 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-best in the NBA.
The Spurs are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 120.4 points per game (3,492 points/29 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Spurs have averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,565 points/1,118 shots) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Spurs have averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (419 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 13-50 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-best in the NBA.
The Spurs are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 120.4 points per game (3,492 points/29 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Spurs have averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,565 points/1,118 shots) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Spurs have averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (419 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 13-50 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-best in the NBA.
The Spurs are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514
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