The Detroit Pistons (24-6) and Utah Jazz (10-19) meet Friday. Tip-off from Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pistons vs. Jazz odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Detroit leads 1-0
Detroit won 136-127 over the Sacramento Kings Tuesday, failing to cover as a 10-point road underdog with the Over (227.5) hitting. G Cade Cunningham posted 23 points and 14 assists, but he had plenty of help, as C Jalen Duren recorded 23 points and 13 boards, and F Tobias Harris finished with 24 points. The Pistons dominated with 70 points in the paint and 27 fast-break points in the win.
Utah was handed a 137-128 loss by the Memphis Grizzlies Tuesday, failing to cover as a 6.5-point home underdog with the Over (243.5) cashing. The Jazz allowed 56 points in the paint and lost the rebounding battle against Memphis. Utah has lost 4 straight and has surrendered more than 125 points in 3 of those losses.
The Pistons picked up a 114-103 win against Utah Nov. 5, covering as a 10-point home favorite with the Under (233.5) cashing. Cunningham scored 31 points and dished out 10 assists, while Duren added 22 points and 22 boards in the win.
Pistons at Jazz odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Pistons -475 (bet $475 to win $100) | Jazz +350 (bet $100 to win $350)Against the spread (ATS): Pistons -9.5 (-115) | Jazz +9.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 243.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Pistons at Jazz key injuries
Pistons
F Ron Holland II (knee) questionable
Jazz
C Walker Kessler (shoulder) outF Georges Niang (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pistons at Jazz picks and predictionsPrediction
Pistons 128, Jazz 120
PASS.
The Pistons are the much better team and are nearly at full health, so they should win this game easily as -475 favorites. However, they are not worth the risk of betting on at such heavy odds, so pass and look to the spread and/or the O/U instead.
LEAN JAZZ +9.5 (-105).
Utah is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 outings, while the Pistons are just 3-6-1 ATS over that same span. The Jazz are also 3-3 ATS in their last 6 matchups against Detroit.
Finally, the Jazz have covered as heavy underdogs against teams like the Houston Rockets, Minnesota Timberwolves and Orlando Magic this season, contributing to their 15-14 ATS record.
This is a lean because Detroit is the much better team, so it’s very possible this ends up as a complete blowout.
BET OVER 243.5 (-115).
The Over has hit in 8 of Utah’s last 10 games and is 19-10 for the Jazz this season. The Over has also cashed in 7 of the last 10 matchups between these squads, including 4 of the last 5 meetings in Salt Lake City.
Detroit has a dominant defense, but its offense also ranks in the top 10. On the other side, the Jazz allow a league-worst 127.4 points per game while still fielding a solid offense.
Look for this to be a game in which both offenses find plenty of success, but expect Detroit to pull away because of its defense, which should force turnovers and lead to easy buckets on the other end.
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