The Suns are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
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The Phoenix Suns visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Suns vs Pelicans Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 20-10 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 20-12 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Pelicans vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 20-10 (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
17-13 against the Moneyline (+8.6 Units / 22.69% ROI)
14-16 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
16-14 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 20-12 (+6.8 Units / 19.32% ROI).
8-24 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -32.02% ROI)
19-13 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI)
13-19 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 70 games (-21.75 Units / -29% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.55 Units / -25% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-19.55 Units / -24% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 76 games (-26.59 Units / -27% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2H Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.38 Units / -25% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 46 games (-16.90 Units / -31% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.58 Units / -18% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 36 away games (-15.85 Units / -38% ROI)
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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,059 rebounds/32 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (902 steals/100 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (115 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Suns are winless (0-7) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332
The Suns are 10-7 (.588) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481
The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .377
The Suns were 6-6 (.500) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,059 rebounds/32 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (902 steals/100 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (115 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns are winless (0-7) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332
The Suns are 10-7 (.588) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481
The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .377
The Suns were 6-6 (.500) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,059 rebounds/32 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (902 steals/100 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (115 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns are winless (0-7) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332
The Suns are 10-7 (.588) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481
The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .377
The Suns were 6-6 (.500) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
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