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The Miami Heat (17-15) face the Denver Nuggets (22-9) on December 29, 2025 on FDSSUN and ALT2. Monday’s matchup has no line set between the Heat and the Nuggets.
Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Nuggets Game Information and TV ChannelWhen: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ETWhere: Kaseya Center in Miami, FloridaTV: FDSSUN and ALT2Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
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Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction
ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Nuggets 121 – Heat 119
Heat Recent TrendsThe Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over their past 10 contests.The Heat have 18 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 51.6% of the time (16 out of 31 games with a set point total).The Heat put up 120.2 points per game, just 2.7 more points than the 117.5 the Nuggets allow.Miami has a 13-3 record against the spread and an 11-5 record overall when putting up more than 117.5 points.The Heat are shooting 47.2% from the field this season, the same percentage the Nuggets allow to opponents.The Heat have an identical winning percentage against the spread when playing at home (.562) as they do on the road.Miami has eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (43.8%) than games on the road (56.2%).At home, the Heat have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 8-5 (.615). On the road, they are 1-1 (.500) as a moneyline favorite. Heat Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.2 6 Points Allowed 117.4 17 Rebounds 45.8 6 Assists 28.5 7 Steals 9.2 6 Blocks 4.5 18 Heat LeadersKel’el Ware puts up 12.4 points, 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists per contest, shooting 56.0% from the floor and 47.1% from downtown (third in league) with 1.3 made treys per game.Norman Powell puts up 23.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, shooting 47.6% from the floor and 39.9% from downtown with 2.8 made treys per game.Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.3 points, 5.5 boards and 4.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.Bam Adebayo averages 18.0 points, 2.4 assists and 9.5 boards.Andrew Wiggins puts up 16.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks.Nuggets Recent TrendsThe Nuggets have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.The Nuggets have played 31 games, with 18 wins against the spread.Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total 67.7% of the time (21 out of 31 games with a set point total).The Nuggets’ 125.8 points per game are 8.4 more points than the 117.4 the Heat allow to opponents.When it scores more than 117.4 points, Denver is 16-10 against the spread and 19-7 overall.The Nuggets are shooting 51.3% from the field, 5.9% higher than the 45.4% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.The Nuggets’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .600 (9-6-0). On the road, it is .562 (9-7-0).Denver’s games have finished above the over/under less often at home (10 times out of 15) than on the road (11 of 16) this year.The Nuggets, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (9-4) than away (11-3) this season.Nuggets Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 125.8 1 Points Allowed 117.5 19 Rebounds 44.3 16 Assists 29.7 3 Steals 7.2 27 Blocks 3.8 28 Nuggets LeadersNikola Jokic is putting up 29.9 points, 12.4 rebounds and 11.1 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 60.4% of his shots from the field (ninth in league) and 44.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.Jamal Murray is averaging 25.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.8 assists per contest. He’s sinking 48.9% of his shots from the field and 45.7% from 3-point range (sixth in league), with 3.5 triples per game (sixth in league).Peyton Watson gets the Nuggets 10.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while posting 1.0 steal and 1.0 block.Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Nuggets 13.2 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while averaging 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.Bruce Brown is putting up 7.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He is sinking 46.3% of his shots from the floor.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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