The Miami Heat (17-15) take on the Denver Nuggets (22-9) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center. It begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and ALT2.
The Nuggets head into their matchup against the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite. The game features an over/under of 244.5.
Nuggets vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 11:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Denver -4.5Total: 244.5Moneyline: Denver -174, Miami +144
Nuggets at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)Pick OU:
Under (244.5)Prediction:
Nuggets 121 – Heat 120MoneylineThe Nuggets have been the moneyline favorite 27 total times this season. They’ve gone 20-7 in those games.When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter, Denver has a record of 16-6 (72.7% win percentage).The Nuggets have a 63.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.The Heat have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.This season, Miami has won two of its 10 games, or 20%, when it is the underdog by at least +144 on the moneyline.Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 41.0% chance to win.Against the spreadThe Nuggets put up 125.8 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 117.4 the Heat allow.When Denver scores more than 117.4 points, it is 16-10 against the spread and 19-7 overall.When it scores more than 117.5 points, Miami is 13-3 against the spread and 11-5 overall.Denver is 16-4 against the spread and 18-2 overall when it allows fewer than 120.2 points.The Nuggets are the league’s highest-scoring team (125.8 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank 17th in points per game (117.4) in NBA play.Miami is the NBA’s sixth-ranked offense (120.2 PPG), while Denver is the 19th-ranked defense (117.5).The Nuggets have totaled 256 more points than their opponents this season (8.3 per game on average), and the Heat have scored 89 more points than their opponents (2.8 per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for Denver this season is 122.3 points, 2.7 fewer points than its implied total of 125 points in Monday’s game.This season, Denver has totaled more than 125 points in a game 20 times.The average implied point total on the season for Miami (121.5) is 1.5 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (120).How to watch Nuggets vs. HeatGame day: Monday, December 29, 2025Game time: 7:30 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: FanDuel Sports Network SunLive stream: Watch this game on Fubo