The Atlanta Hawks (15-18) travel to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (27-5) Monday. Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Oklahoma City leads 1-0
Atlanta was handed its 6th straight loss, 128-125 at the hands of the New York Knicks while covering as a 4.5-point home underdog as the Over (243.5) cashed. Onyeka Okongwu dropped 31 points, but it wasn’t enough as Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns combined for 70 points for New York. The Hawks have given up at least 126 points in each of their last eight losses.
Oklahoma City dominated the Philadelphia 76ers 129-104 on Sunday to cover as a 17.5-point home favorite while the Over (230.5) hit. Chet Holmgren finished with 29 points, 9 boards, and 4 blocks in the win. The Thunder scored 31 points off 23 turnovers while also scoring an insane 72 points in the paint.
The Thunder beat the Hawks 117-100 on Oct. 25, covering as 8.5-point road favorites with the Under (236.5) hitting. Holmgren put up 31 points and 11 boards while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 30 points in the win.
Hawks at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:39 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Hawks +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Thunder -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +16.5 (-115) | Thunder -16.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Hawks at Thunder key injuries
Hawks
F Jalen Johnson (illness) outC Kristaps Porzingis (illness) outG Trae Young (quad) questionable
Thunder
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
F Jaylin Williams (heel) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Hawks at Thunder picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 134, Hawks 110
PASS.
The Thunder are the much better team and will easily cover here as -1200 favorites, but no team favored so heavily is worth the risk of backing on the ML. Pass here and bet on the safer spread and/or total bets instead.
BET THUNDER -16.5 (-105).
Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 5 of its last 6 home games while the Hawks are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 overall. The Thunder have also covered in each of the last 3 games against the Hawks.
Look for OKC’s defense to be suffocating, leading to easy transition buckets that turn this game into a blowout within the opening quarter of play. With the injuries for Atlanta, the Thunder will dominate this game from the very jump and likely won’t even need to play their starters in the fourth.
LEAN OVER 236.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in 7 of Atlanta’s last 10 games, including each of its last 3 road games. For the Thunder, the Over is 2-1 in their last 3 games and has hit in 5 of the previous 6 matchups between these squads.
Atlanta’s defense has been abysmal since the mid-December return of Trae Young from a month-and-a-half long layoff, so look for the Thunder to score at will here.
This is a lean because Oklahoma City’s defense is so good that, especially with all of Atlanta’s injuries, the Hawks could easily be held to under 100 points, making it hard for an Over number of 237 to be hit.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire