The Denver Nuggets (22-9) face the Miami Heat (17-15) Monday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0 after 122-112 home win as 9-point favorites Nov. 5.
The Nuggets have dropped 2 of 3, both L’s on the road, after a 127-126 loss at the Orlando Magic Saturday. They were 1.5-point favorites as the Over 239 hit. C Nikola Jokic continued his barrage on the stat sheet with 34 points, 21 boards and 12 assists. He’s averaging a triple-double in December with 31.4 PPG, 12.3 RPG and 11.3 APG.
The Heat have won 2 straight after a 142-116 stomping against the Indiana Pacers Saturday. They were 6.5-point favorites on the tail end of a back-to-back. They were without C Bam Adebayo and G Tyler Herro as F Jaime Jaquez Jr. and F Andrew Wiggins each dropped 28. Jaquez is averaging 20.2 PPG over his last 6 games.
Nuggets at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Heat +115 (bet $100 to win $115)Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -2.5 (-105) | Heat +2.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 245.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Nuggets at Heat key injuries
Nuggets
G Christian Braun (ankle) outF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) outF Cam Johnson (knee) out
Heat
C Bam Adebayo (back) probableG Tyler Herro (toe) outG Terry Rozier III (personal) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Nuggets 121, Heat 105
The Nuggets have won 8 in a row over Miami and 9 of 10. This is a get-right game for them, and their supporting cast vastly outweighs Miami’s.
However, the spread is a manageable one. PASS.
Take the NUGGETS -2,5 (-110) for all the aforementioned reasons. One bucket is nominal to lay when Denver has beaten Miami by 5+ in each of the last 8 meetings.
The Over is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings, and the Under cashed in a 122-112 final earlier this season. Miami is 3-7 O/U in its last 10, and this is a massive number.
Go UNDER 245.5 (-110).
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