The Detroit Pistons (25-8) welcome in the Miami Heat (18-15) after winning five straight home games. It tips at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 1, 2026.
The Pistons hit the court as 5.5-point favorites against the Heat. The matchup features a point total of 239.5.
Pistons vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 7:29 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Detroit -5.5Total: 239.5Moneyline: Detroit -210, Miami +176
Heat at Pistons odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)Pick OU:
Under (239.5)Prediction:
Pistons 120 – Heat 115MoneylineThe Pistons have a 20-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 74.1% of those games).Detroit has a record of 14-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -210 or shorter (winning 87.5%).The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Pistons a 67.7% chance to win.The Heat have won nine, or 50%, of the 18 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.This season, Miami has won two of its nine games, or 22.2%, when it is the underdog by at least +176 on the moneyline.The implied probability of a win by the Heat based on the moneyline is 36.2%.Against the spreadThe Pistons score just 1.6 more points per game (119.1) than the Heat allow (117.5).Detroit is 11-6 against the spread and 16-1 overall when scoring more than 117.5 points.When it scores more than 112.7 points, Miami is 16-5 against the spread and 14-7 overall.Detroit’s record is 17-12 against the spread and 22-7 overall when it allows fewer than 121 points.The Pistons are at the 10th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (119.1 PPG), while the Heat allow the 19th-fewest points per game (117.5) in the league.Miami is the NBA’s third-ranked offense (121 PPG), while Detroit is the fourth-ranked defense (112.7).The Pistons have out-scored their opponents by a total of 213 points this season (6.4 points per game on average), and the Heat have put up 113 more points than their opponents on the year (3.5 per game).Over/UnderDetroit’s average implied point total this year is four fewer points than its implied total in Thursday’s game (119 implied points on average compared to 123 implied points in this game).So far this season, Detroit has scored more than 123 points 12 times.Miami’s average implied point total on the year (121.5 points) is 4.5 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (117 points).How to watch Pistons vs. HeatGame day: Thursday, January 1, 2026Game time: 7 p.m. ETLocation: Detroit, MichiganArena: Little Caesars ArenaTV channel: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit ExtraLive stream: Watch this game on Fubo