The Detroit Pistons (25-8) are 5.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a five-game home winning streak when they square off against the Miami Heat (18-15) on Thursday, January 1, 2026 at Little Caesars Arena. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDETX.

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Pistons vs. Heat Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Pistons 120, Heat 115.

Moneyline Pick: Pistons (-199)
Total Pick: Under 239.5 (computer predicts 235.2 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+5.5)
Recent Pistons vs. Heat Matchups

Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends

So far this season, Detroit has put together an 18-15-0 record against the spread.
The Pistons have an 8-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
In Detroit’s 33 games with a set total, 17 have hit the over (51.5%).
The Pistons have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 20, or 74.1%, of those games.
This season, Detroit has won 14 of its 16 games, or 87.5%, when favored by at least -199 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami is 19-13-1 against the spread this season.
The Heat have a 5-3-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season.
Miami’s games have hit the over 16 out of 33 times (48.5%).
The Heat have compiled a 9-9 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +165 or longer, Miami has a record of 2-8 (20%).

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Pistons vs. Heat Injury Report

Pistons

Pistons:

Tobias Harris: Day-To-Day (Hip),

Caris LeVert: Out (Knee)

Heat

Heat:

Pelle Larsson: Out (Ankle),

Simone Fontecchio: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Tyler Herro: Out (Toe)

Pistons vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Thursday, January 1, 2026
Game time: 7 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSDETX
Location: Detroit, Michigan
Arena: Little Caesars Arena
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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