The Miami Heat (19-15) are 3.5-point underdogs as they try to continue a four-game win streak when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs at 5 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSN, NBA TV, and WPLG.

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Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Heat 120, Timberwolves 116.

Moneyline Pick: Heat (+125)
Total Pick: Under 237.5 (computer predicts 235.8 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+3.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Heat Matchups

Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends

Minnesota has a 13-21-0 record against the spread this season.
In games this season they were favored by 3.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have a 10-16 record against the spread.
In Minnesota’s 34 games with a set total, 15 have hit the over (44.1%).
The Timberwolves have won 19, or 70.4%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 19-7, a 73.1% win rate, when it’s favored by -149 or more by bookmakers this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami has gone 20-13-1 ATS this season.
When they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 9-4-1 against the spread.
The teams have combined to hit the over in 16 of Miami’s 34 games with a set total.
The Heat have won 52.6% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (10-9).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +125 or longer, Miami has a record of 6-8 (42.9%).

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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report

Timberwolves

Timberwolves:

Terrence Shannon: Out (Foot)

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Probable (Elbow),

Pelle Larsson: Questionable (Ankle),

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Probable (Thigh),

Tyler Herro: Out (Toe),

Bam Adebayo: Probable (Back)

Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
Game time: 5 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSN, NBA TV, and WPLG
Location: Miami, Florida
Arena: Kaseya Center
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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